{"id":86210,"date":"2019-09-02T07:51:31","date_gmt":"2019-09-02T07:51:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=86210"},"modified":"2019-09-02T07:52:07","modified_gmt":"2019-09-02T07:52:07","slug":"20190902-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190902-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190902 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2019<\/strong><strong>\u5e74<\/strong><strong>9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>2<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u67082\u81f36\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>8<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>26<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> <strong><u>\u2013 30<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a598.70\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66(University of Michigan)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4ec5\u4e3a89.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768492.3\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2016\u5e7410\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u6d89\u53ca\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5546\u4e1a\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5df2\u9010\u6e10\u5f71\u54cd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5bfc\u81f4\u652f\u51fa\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8dcc\u5e45\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4e0e\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u8d27\u5e01\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u201c\u786c\u9000\u6b27\u201d\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4e5f\u5728\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e00\u4f4d\u6210\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u76f8\u5f53\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u3002\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u739b\u4e3d\u2022\u6234\u5229(Mary Daly)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6709\u5229\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\u91c7\u53d6\u201c\u89c2\u671b\u201d\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u6234\u5229\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u77ed\u671f\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u76f8\u7b26\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5706\u4e0a\u5468\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u7a84\u5e45\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u4ea4\u6295\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5106.25\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u7ee7\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u4f46\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4eec\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u7b49\u5f85\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u51fa\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5c06\u4ed4\u7ec6\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u81ea2017\u5e745\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u8dcc\u78341.10\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u56e0\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e1.0989\u3002\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570(CPI)\u6301\u5e73\u4e8e0.9%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76841%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u4e94\u5ef6\u7eed\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u7ea61.2161\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u2022\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Boris Johnson)\u51b3\u5b9a\u572810\u670814\u65e5\u4e4b\u524d\u5173\u95ed\u8bae\u4f1a\uff0c\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u4efb\u4f55\u9488\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u786c\u9000\u6b27\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u82f1\u9551\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u5934\u538b\u529b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5c40\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>8<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>26<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> <strong><u>\u2013 30<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>GOLD<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81,520.31\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u4e0d\u65ad\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u5b58\u5728\u9000\u6b27\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u8d44\u91d1\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u6da8\u5e45\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7b49\u5f85\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u51fa\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5176\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Crude Oil<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d85\u8fc73%\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u687655.10\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u4f69\u514b(OPEC)\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u589e\u4ea7\u3001\u800c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u5546\u5b9a\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u906d\u5230\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u6b27\u4f69\u514b8\u6708\u4efd\u77f3\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u57282019\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u589e\u52a08\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u81f32961\u4e07\u6876\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u6587\u4f20\u7535\u8baf\u793e(Interfax)\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af8\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ece\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u76841,115\u4e07\u6876\u589e\u52a0\u52301,130\u4e07\u6876\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6b27\u4f69\u514b\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5df2\u540c\u610f\u5728\u4eca\u5e746\u6708\u5ef6\u957f\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5c06\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u524a\u51cf120\u4e07\u6876\u81f32020\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u534f\u8bae\u6267\u884c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u77f3\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u65b0\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u672a\u6765\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>9<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>2<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>6<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u81f3\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8API\u548cEIA\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e93\u5b58\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u00a0<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>9<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>2<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>6<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong><strong>,9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>2<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> &#8211; Markit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong><strong>, 9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> &#8211; \u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> &#8211; \u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> &#8211; \u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)Construction PMI (Aug)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> &#8211; ISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong><strong>, 9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>4<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>Markit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong><strong>, <\/strong><strong>9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>5<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>ADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>ISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5f53\u5468EIA\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u53d8\u52a8(\u6876)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong><strong>, <\/strong><strong>9<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u5de5\u8d44\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8(\u4eba) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong><strong> &#8211; <\/strong>IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2019\u5e749\u67082\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 &nbsp; \u00a0 GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u67082\u81f36\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a8\u670826\u65e5 \u2013 30\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a598.70\u3002 &nbsp; \u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66(University of Michigan)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4ec5\u4e3a89.8\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768492.3\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2016\u5e7410\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u6d89\u53ca\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5546\u4e1a\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5df2\u9010\u6e10\u5f71\u54cd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5bfc\u81f4\u652f\u51fa\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 &nbsp; \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5c06\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5176\u5b83\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8dcc\u5e45\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4e0e\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u7b49\u8d27\u5e01\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u82f1\u9551\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u201c\u786c\u9000\u6b27\u201d\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u8361\u3002 &nbsp; \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4e5f\u5728\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e00\u4f4d\u6210\u5458\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u76f8\u5f53\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u3002\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u884c\u957f\u739b\u4e3d\u2022\u6234\u5229(Mary Daly)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6709\u5229\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\u91c7\u53d6\u201c\u89c2\u671b\u201d\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u6234\u5229\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u77ed\u671f\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0a\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u76f8\u7b26\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c 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Johnson)\u51b3\u5b9a\u572810\u670814\u65e5\u4e4b\u524d\u5173\u95ed\u8bae\u4f1a\uff0c\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u4efb\u4f55\u9488\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u786c\u9000\u6b27\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u82f1\u9551\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u5934\u538b\u529b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5c40\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002 \u00a0 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a8\u670826\u65e5 \u2013 30\u65e5 GOLD \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81,520.31\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u4e0d\u65ad\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u5b58\u5728\u9000\u6b27\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5c06\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u5411\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u8d44\u91d1\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u6da8\u5e45\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7b49\u5f85\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u51fa\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u5176\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 &nbsp; Crude Oil \u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d85\u8fc73%\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u687655.10\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5728\u6b27\u4f69\u514b(OPEC)\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u589e\u4ea7\u3001\u800c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u5546\u5b9a\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u906d\u5230\u5927\u91cf\u629b\u552e\u3002 &nbsp; \u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u6b27\u4f69\u514b8\u6708\u4efd\u77f3\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u57282019\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u589e\u52a08\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u81f32961\u4e07\u6876\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u6587\u4f20\u7535\u8baf\u793e(Interfax)\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af8\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ece\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u76841,115\u4e07\u6876\u589e\u52a0\u52301,130\u4e07\u6876\u3002 &nbsp; \u5c3d\u7ba1\u6b27\u4f69\u514b\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5df2\u540c\u610f\u5728\u4eca\u5e746\u6708\u5ef6\u957f\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5c06\u65e5\u4ea7\u91cf\u524a\u51cf120\u4e07\u6876\u81f32020\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u534f\u8bae\u6267\u884c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u3002 &nbsp; \u540c\u6837\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u77f3\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u65b0\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u672a\u6765\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 \u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a9\u67082\u65e5\u81f36\u65e5 \u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002 &nbsp; \u81f3\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8API\u548cEIA\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e93\u5b58\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002 \u00a0 \u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a9\u67082\u65e5\u81f36\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e00,9\u67082\u65e5 &nbsp; 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