{"id":89979,"date":"2019-09-30T06:24:41","date_gmt":"2019-09-30T06:24:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=89979"},"modified":"2019-09-30T06:24:41","modified_gmt":"2019-09-30T06:24:41","slug":"20190930-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20190930-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20190930 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a9\u670830\u81f310\u67084\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\u6536\u4e8e98.71\u7531\u4e8e\u53d7\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e50\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u5df2\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f30.2\uff05\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684-1.1\uff05\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u7684\u8ba2\u5355\u4f9d\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u6d3b\u52a8\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u9ad8\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u60c5\u7eea\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002\u6839\u636e\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5df2\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f393.2\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f92.0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9b45\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u79ef\u6781\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u201c\u5f88\u5feb\u201d\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u8d5e\u626c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\u613f\u610f\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4ee5\u8868\u660e\u5176\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u8bda\u610f\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u505c\u706b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u9879\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u5165\u725b\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a107.92\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u5e76\u628a\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d4c\u6ce8\u62bc\u5728\u4e86\u5982\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u7c7b\u7684\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u7136\u627f\u538b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4f3c\u4e4e\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u5411\u4e8f\u635f\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b27\u5143\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002 \u5fb7\u56fd8\u6708\u4efd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u964d\u81f30.6\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e3a0.3\uff05\u3002 \u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u65b0\u95fb\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u7eaa\u5f55\u7684\u5956\u9879\uff0c\u8be5\u5956\u9879\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6253\u51fb\u6b27\u6d32\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u552e\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7ecf\u5386\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6536\u4e8e1.2287\u9644\u8fd1\u3002 \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u6210\u5458\u7c73\u6b47\u5c14\u2022\u6851\u5fb7\u65af\uff08Micheal Saunders\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u9e3d\u6d3e\u8a00\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u5458\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u731b\u70c8\u51b2\u51fb\u3002 \u6851\u5fb7\u65af\uff08Saunders\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u964d\u606f\u3002 \u8fd9\u662f\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u786e\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f7f\u5df2\u7ecf\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5931\u671b\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u5728\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u65b0\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u5934\u6761\u548c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>23<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 27<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u906d\u53d7\u91cd\u5927\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81496.75\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8be5\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u968f\u7740\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u540c\u610f\u5728\u4e5f\u95e8\u505c\u706b\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u56db\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0e\u53cd\u653f\u5e9c\u80e1\u585e\u53db\u519b\u4f5c\u6218\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u4e1c\u505c\u6218\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f11\u6218\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u5229\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u5c06\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u98d9\u5347\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u65b0\u50ac\u5316\u5242\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/u><\/strong>\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>9<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>30<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>10<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,9<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>30<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u8d22\u65b0\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>1<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> – \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> – \u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u77ed\u89c2\u5927\u578b\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6570 (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – \u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>Markit\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e03\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>ISM\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>2<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>ADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>3<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u7efc\u5408PMI\u6307\u6570 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>Markit\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>ISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI (\u4e5d\u6708)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>10<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>4<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u5de5\u8d44\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u52a8 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u5931\u4e1a\u7387 (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> – <\/strong>IVEY\u5b63\u8c03\u540ePMI (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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