{"id":93289,"date":"2019-10-21T07:22:15","date_gmt":"2019-10-21T07:22:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=93289"},"modified":"2019-10-21T07:22:15","modified_gmt":"2019-10-21T07:22:15","slug":"20191021-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20191021-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20191021 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2019<\/strong><strong>\u5e74<\/strong><strong>10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>21<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>GCMAsia<\/strong><strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a<\/strong><strong>10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>21<\/strong><strong>\u81f3<\/strong><strong>25<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>14<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> <strong><u>\u2013 18<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u6027\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5e76\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e97.00\u4ef7\u683c<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ecd\u5728\u7ea0\u7ed3\u4e8e\u662f\u5426\u589e\u52a0\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u91d1\u989d\u4ece400\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u5230500\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u636e\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u9ad8\u5cf0\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5468\u56db\u65f6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u53d6\u6d88\u6240\u6709\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f7f\u4e24\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u6700\u7ec8\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5df2\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u9eef\u6de1\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u53d7\u5230\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e \uff08Census Bureau\uff09\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u4ef7\u683c (U.S Core Retail Sales) \u5728-0.3\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76840.3\u3002\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\uff08Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index\uff09\u4e3a5.6\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f8.0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9eef\u6de1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b9e\u65bd\u5bbd\u677e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u610f\u56fe\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u7f8e\u5143\u62db\u5230\u629b\u552e\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef (U.S Building Permits) \u548c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5 (Initial Jobless claims) \u90fd\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u6307\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u56fd\u53ea\u662f\u90e8\u5206\u505c\u6218\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u4ecd\u7136\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u76ef\u7740\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u3002\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u6708\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e108.47\u3002 \u7ee7\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7b49\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u65e5\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u5de8\u5927\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c06\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u5982\u65e5\u5143\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u98ce\u9669\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1155\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Eurostat\uff09\u79f0\uff0c9\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4ece-0.4\uff05\u5347\u81f30.4\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6279\u51c6\u4fee\u8ba2\u540e\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 \uff08EURUSD\uff09\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u8f6f\u8131\u6b27 (soft-Brexit) \u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5e76\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5176\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u548c\u6b27\u6d32CPI\u6570\u636e\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 \uff08EURUSD\uff09\u6536\u5230\u627f\u538b\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ba1\u67e5\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u65b0\u95fb\u548c\u672a\u6765\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u76d8\u4e2d\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee51.2906\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u975e\u4ea4\u6613\u6027\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27 (Non-deal Brexit) \u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5927\u5927\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u82f1\u9551\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u56de\u8d2d\uff0c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u516d\uff0c\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\uff08Boris Johnson\uff09\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u8f6f\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae (soft-Brexit) \u672a\u80fd\u5728\u8bae\u4f1a\u5f00\u4f1a\u8bf4\u670d\u7acb\u6cd5\u8005\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u901a\u8fc7\u7684\u5355\u72ec\u7acb\u6cd5\uff0c\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u73b0\u5728\u88ab\u8feb\u8981\u6c42\u5c06\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u63a8\u8fdf\u52302020\u5e741\u6708\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6d88\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82f1\u9551\u7684\u5347\u5e45\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0b\u8bae\u9662\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u96c5\u5404\u5e03\u00b7\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u83ab\u683c\uff08Jacob Rees-Mogg\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u8ba1\u5212\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u4e00\u8fdb\u884c\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u548c\u6295\u7968\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>14<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> <strong><u>\u2013 18<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u8fd1\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u7a84\u5e45\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f81490.05\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u4e8c\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u6d88\u606f\u51fa\u7089\u540e\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u4e86\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u62db\u5230\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u7b7e\u7f72\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u4e4b\u524d\u8981\u6c42\u4e3e\u884c\u66f4\u591a\u8c08\u5224\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5b83\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5468\u516d\u62d2\u7edd\u9c8d\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\uff08Boris Johnson\uff09\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u8f6c\u5411\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u6cae\u4e27\u7684\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>21<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>26<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\u5982\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>21<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>10<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u6708<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>2<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>6<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong><strong>,10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>21<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> &#8211; \u5fb7\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong><strong>, 10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>22<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong><strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u516b\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6210\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong><strong>, 10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>23<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong><strong>, <\/strong><strong>10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>24<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5b58\u6b3e\u4fbf\u5229\u5229\u7387(%) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fb9\u9645\u501f\u8d37\u5229\u7387(%)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5fb7\u62c9\u57fa(Mario Draghi)\u53ec\u5f00\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"179\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong><strong>, <\/strong><strong>10<\/strong><strong>\u6708<\/strong><strong>25<\/strong><strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"374\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2019\u5e7410\u670821\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790 &nbsp; GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a10\u670821\u81f325\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a10\u670814\u65e5 \u2013 18\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7531\u4e8e\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u6027\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5e76\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u516d\u79cd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e97.00\u4ef7\u683c &nbsp; \u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ecd\u5728\u7ea0\u7ed3\u4e8e\u662f\u5426\u589e\u52a0\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u91d1\u989d\u4ece400\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u5230500\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u636e\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u9ad8\u5cf0\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5468\u56db\u65f6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u53d6\u6d88\u6240\u6709\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f7f\u4e24\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u6700\u7ec8\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5df2\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u98ce\u9669\u3002 \u00a0 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\u90fd\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u6307\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002 &nbsp; \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e24\u56fd\u53ea\u662f\u90e8\u5206\u505c\u6218\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u4ecd\u7136\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u76ef\u7740\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u3002\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u6708\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 &nbsp; \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u4e8e108.47\u3002 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\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1155\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u636e\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Eurostat\uff09\u79f0\uff0c9\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4ece-0.4\uff05\u5347\u81f30.4\uff05\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6279\u51c6\u4fee\u8ba2\u540e\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 \uff08EURUSD\uff09\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8bae\u4f1a\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u8f6f\u8131\u6b27 (soft-Brexit) \u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5e76\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u5176\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570\u548c\u6b27\u6d32CPI\u6570\u636e\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 \uff08EURUSD\uff09\u6536\u5230\u627f\u538b\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ba1\u67e5\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u65b0\u95fb\u548c\u672a\u6765\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 &nbsp; \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u76d8\u4e2d\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee51.2906\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u82f1\u56fd\u975e\u4ea4\u6613\u6027\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27 (Non-deal Brexit) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93289"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93289"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93289\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93289"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93289"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93289"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}