{"id":96199,"date":"2019-11-11T07:35:13","date_gmt":"2019-11-11T07:35:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=96199"},"modified":"2019-11-11T07:35:13","modified_gmt":"2019-11-11T07:35:13","slug":"20191111-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20191111-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20191111 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670811\u81f315\u65e5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>4<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>8<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a598.15\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u591a\u5934\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7a33\u5b9a\u4ee5\u53ca\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u524d\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e0a\u6708\u4e3a52.6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u768453.5\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u6570\u636e\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdJOLT\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u4e3a702.4\u4e07\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b702.8\u4e07\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u65b0\u95fb\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e0b\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u957f\u5a01\u5c14\u4f2f\u00b7\u7f57\u65af\uff08Wilbur Ross\uff09\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u534e\u4e3a\u6280\u672f\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u51fa\u552e\u7ec4\u4ef6\u7684\u8bb8\u53ef\u201c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c06\u8981\u5b9e\u884c\u201d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u6566\u4fc3\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u53d6\u6d889\u6708\u4efd\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u5728\u4e8e\u672c\u6708\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7b7e\u7f72\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u201d\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a8\u8fdf\u5269\u4f59\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u8be5\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u5728\u667a\u5229\u56e0\u4e3a\u6297\u8bae\u884c\u52a8\u800c\u53d6\u6d88\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f1a\u8bae\u5730\u70b9\u5c06\u4f1a\u5b9a\u5728\u4f26\u6566\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u5468\u56db\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u540c\u610f\u964d\u4f4e\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5173\u7a0e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u534f\u8bae\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u58f0\u79f0\u4ed6\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u8be5\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u4ece\u800c\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e24\u56fd\u53ea\u662f\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u505c\u6218\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4f53\u534f\u8bae\u4e0a\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a109.19\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u826f\u597d\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u8dcc\u652f\u6491\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5e76\u523a\u6fc0\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u906d\u5230\u629b\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u906d\u53d7\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1019\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u5143\u8fd8\u662f\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a42.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u768441.9\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ece45.7\u5347\u81f345.9\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8610\u6708\u4efd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u768445.7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u5f3a\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.2775\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u94f6\u884c\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u76840.75\uff05\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u60c5\u7eea\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u906d\u53d7\u5230\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4e24\u540d\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u964d\u606f\u6765\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5b98\u5458\u5219\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ba1\u67e5\u82f1\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5728\u7b49\u5f852019\u5e7412\u670812\u65e5\u7684\u5927\u9009\u7ed3\u679c\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>04<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>08<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

GOLD<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81458.82\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u91d1\u5c5e\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u548c\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u53d6\u6d88\u90e8\u5206\u5173\u7a0e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4ecd\u672a\u51b3\u5b9a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u964d\u4f4e\u5173\u7a0e\u201d\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u9e3d\u6d3e\u57fa\u8c03\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fd9\u79cd\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u8bf8\u5982\u82f1\u56fdGDP\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u6570\u636e\u548c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u628a\u6ce8\u76ee\u653e\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>15<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u82f1\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387\uff08%\uff09\uff08\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4\uff09\uff08\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\uff09<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u82f1\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u82f1\u56fd3\u4e2a\u6708\u6eda\u52a8GDP\u6708\u7387(%)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>12<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u542b\u7ea2\u5229\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u4eba\u6570(\u4eba) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013\u5fb7\u56fdZEW\u7ecf\u6d4e\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>13<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u82f1\u56fdCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 \u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170<\/strong> \u2013\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>14<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u65e5\u672cGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3(\u4eba) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdGDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome Powell)\u53d1\u8868\u8bc1\u8bcd\u9648\u8ff0<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>15<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u6ce2\u6d1b\u5179(Stephen Poloz)\u8bb2\u8bdd<\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2019\u5e7411\u670811\u65e5\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790   GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670811\u81f315\u65e5 \u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a11\u67084\u65e5\u81f38\u65e5 \u7f8e\u56fd \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u62a598.15\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u591a\u5934\u52bf\u5934\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7a33\u5b9a\u4ee5\u53ca\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u524d\u666f\u3002   \u6839\u636e\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ba1\u7406\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e0a\u6708\u4e3a52.6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u768453.5\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u6570\u636e\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fdJOLT\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u4e3a702.4\u4e07\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b702.8\u4e07\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002   \u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u65b0\u95fb\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e0b\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u957f\u5a01\u5c14\u4f2f\u00b7\u7f57\u65af\uff08Wilbur Ross\uff09\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u534e\u4e3a\u6280\u672f\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u51fa\u552e\u7ec4\u4ef6\u7684\u8bb8\u53ef\u201c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c06\u8981\u5b9e\u884c\u201d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u6566\u4fc3\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u53d6\u6d889\u6708\u4efd\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u5728\u4e8e\u672c\u6708\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7b7e\u7f72\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u201d\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a8\u8fdf\u5269\u4f59\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u8be5\u79ef\u6781\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u5728\u667a\u5229\u56e0\u4e3a\u6297\u8bae\u884c\u52a8\u800c\u53d6\u6d88\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f1a\u8bae\u5730\u70b9\u5c06\u4f1a\u5b9a\u5728\u4f26\u6566\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u5468\u56db\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u540c\u610f\u964d\u4f4e\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5173\u7a0e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u534f\u8bae\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u58f0\u79f0\u4ed6\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u8be5\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u4ece\u800c\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e24\u56fd\u53ea\u662f\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u505c\u6218\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4f53\u534f\u8bae\u4e0a\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u51b3\u3002 \u00a0 \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143 (USDJPY)\u4e0a\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a109.19\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fdISM\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u826f\u597d\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u8dcc\u652f\u6491\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5e76\u523a\u6fc0\u65e5\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u906d\u5230\u629b\u552e\u3002   \u6b27\u6d32 \u4e0a\u5468\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (EURUSD) \u906d\u53d7\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u4e3a1.1019\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6b27\u76df\u5730\u533a\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u5143\u8fd8\u662f\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u4e3a42.1\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u768441.9\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ece45.7\u5347\u81f345.9\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8610\u6708\u4efd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u768445.7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u5f3a\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6b27\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002   \u82f1\u56fd \u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143 (GBPUSD) \u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee51.2775\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u94f6\u884c\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u76840.75\uff05\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u9e3d\u6d3e\u60c5\u7eea\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u906d\u53d7\u5230\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4e24\u540d\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u964d\u606f\u6765\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5b98\u5458\u5219\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ba1\u67e5\u82f1\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5728\u7b49\u5f852019\u5e7412\u670812\u65e5\u7684\u5927\u9009\u7ed3\u679c\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002   \u00a0\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a11\u670804\u65e5 \u2013 11\u670808\u65e5 GOLD \u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u62a5\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81458.82\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u91d1\u5c5e\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u6da8\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u548c\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u629b\u552e\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald 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