{"id":98175,"date":"2019-11-25T03:50:31","date_gmt":"2019-11-25T03:50:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/?p=98175"},"modified":"2019-11-25T03:50:51","modified_gmt":"2019-11-25T03:50:51","slug":"20191125-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gcmasia.co\/analysis\/information\/week\/20191125-3\/","title":{"rendered":"20191125 \u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

2019<\/strong>\u5e74<\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u6bcf\u5468\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

GCMAsia\u6bcf\u5468\u62a5\u544a\uff1a11\u670825\u81f329\u65e5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5916\u6c47\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u5151\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u516d\u5927\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7ed3\u675f\u5e02\u573a\u572898.18\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u53cc\u65b9\u5c06\u5f88\u5feb\u7b7e\u7f72\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u798f\u514b\u65af\u65b0\u95fb\u793e\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u201d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7b7e\u7f72\u56fd\u4f1a\u672c\u5468\u901a\u8fc7\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u652f\u6301\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bd5\u56fe\u5b89\u629a\u5317\u4eac\u3002\u4ed6\u63d0\u5230\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0e\u9999\u6e2f\u7ad9\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4e5f\u4e0e\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7ad9\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u6211\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8bae\u7684\u5bb6\u4f19\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u7ad9\u8d77\u6765\u2026\u2026\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d\u8be5\u8a00\u8bba\u4e3a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6d8c\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u6839\u636eMarkit Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u663e\u793a\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u6539\u5584\u81f352.2\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u768451.5\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4e5f\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1aPMI\u6307\u6570\u4e3a51.6\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e3a51.0\u3002\u8be5\u4e24\u9879\u6307\u6570\u5747\u5904\u4e8e4\u6708\u4efd\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u6253\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ecd\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5c06\u76ee\u5149\u9501\u5b9a\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u4e0a\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u65e5\u5143(USD\/JPY)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7387\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e3a108.62\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6697\u793a\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u8fbe\u6210\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u975e\u5e38\u7d27\u5bc6\u201d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u5982\u65e5\u5143\u5931\u53bb\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143(EUR\/USD)\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6536\u76d8\u4e3a1.1018\u4ef7\u4f4d\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u75b2\u8f6f\u4ee5\u53ca\u8131\u6b27\u95ee\u9898\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u3002 \u5728\u6b27\u5143\u533a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u4ee5\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u589e\u957f\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u6d3b\u52a8\u75b2\u5f31\u5bfc\u81f4\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u627f\u53d7\u7740\u538b\u529b\u3002 \u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4ece\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u56de\u8c03\u800c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee51.2829\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u76d8\u3002 \u82f1\u9551\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u75b2\u8f6f\u5bfc\u81f4\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u629b\u552e\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u6700\u8fd1\u5bf9\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u4e8e12\u670812\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u5927\u9009\u4e2d\u8d62\u5f97\u8bae\u4f1a\u591a\u6570\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4ecd\u5bf9\u5de5\u515a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6301\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u89c1\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740PMI\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u8dcc\u81f348.5\uff0c\u81ea2016\u5e74\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u516c\u6295\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5dee\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u987e\uff08\u5546\u54c1\uff09\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>18<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong> \u2013 11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>22<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81461.92\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u53d1\u8868\u79ef\u6781\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u907f\u9669\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u907f\u9669\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u9762\u4e34\u6301\u7eed\u6311\u6218\u548c\u7591\u8651\u3002 \u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u6700\u8fd1\u4e5f\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u653f\u5e9c\u518d\u6b21\u5173\u95ed\u76f4\u523012\u670820\u65e5\uff0c\u8fd9\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u57fa\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u5468\u5c55\u671b\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u548cGDP\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 \u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u7b49\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/u><\/strong>11<\/u><\/strong>\u6708<\/u><\/strong>25<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5\u81f3<\/u><\/strong>29<\/u><\/strong>\u65e5<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u661f\u671f\u4e00<\/strong>,11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>25<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5fb7\u56fdIFO\u5546\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/strong>, 11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>26<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8c18\u5546\u4f1a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u65b0\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5316\u603b\u6570(\u6237) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong>
\n<\/strong>\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/strong>, 11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>27<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6263\u9664\u8fd0\u8f93\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u8ba2\u5355\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u7387 (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u6210\u5c4b\u7b7e\u7ea6\u9500\u552e\u6307\u6570\u6708\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u5341\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd<\/strong> – <\/strong>\u8d22\u653f\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u661f\u671f\u56db<\/strong>, <\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>28<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u5b63\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/strong>, <\/strong>11<\/strong>\u6708<\/strong>29<\/strong>\u65e5<\/strong><\/td>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> \u5fb7\u56fd\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53d8\u52a8 (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32<\/strong> \u2013 <\/strong>\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u5e74\u7387(%) (\u540c\u6bd4) (\u5341\u4e00\u6708)<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/strong> \u2013<\/strong> GDP\u5b63\u7387(%) (\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4) (\u4e5d\u6708)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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