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17 April 2020                       Afternoon Session Analysis

Pound sterling fell following risk of Brexit resumes.

The pound sterling which traded against the dollar and its peer have fell during late Asian session as risk of U.K leaving the EU without a deal back in focus while both parties are set to renew talks for next week. According to latest development, UK and EU have agreed to the dates for the next three rounds of negotiations with talks set to take place by video conference in the weeks beginning April 20, May 11 and June 1. However, the U.K. have expressed its unwillingness to prolong the Brexit further and would refuse any European Union request to extend the Brexit transition period, according to Prime Minster Boris Johnson’s spokesman. Market remains concerned about the risk of U.K leaving the EU without any trade deal would exert further on the economy due to the impact from the coronavirus pandemic. Thus, the ongoing uncertainty has dragged the currency sentiment lower. At the time of writing, GBP/USD fell 0.10% to 1.2495.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price fell 0.15% to $19.69 as of writing amid demand concerns continue to weigh on the commodity. According to reports, OPEC have expected that the global oil demand to decline by 6.9 million barrels per day and sees the demand contraction in the second quarter to be around 12 million bpd. Regarding the demand outlook, OPEC said downward risks were still significant. In the other hand, gold price fell 0.74% to $1705.07 at the time of writing amid broad U.S dollar strength.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
17:00 EUR – CPI (YoY)(Mar) 0.7% 0.7%
01:00

(18th)

U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 504

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H1: Dollar index was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 99.65. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 99.90 100.15

Support level: 99.65, 99.20

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.2455. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2620, 1.2765

Support level: 1.2455, 1.2205

 

EURUSD, H1: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.0835. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.0905, 1.0945

Support level: 1.0835, 1.0775

 

USDJPY, H1: USDJPY was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 107.60. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 108.05, 108.35

Support level: 107.60, 107.15

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6220. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.6460.

 

Resistance level: 0.6460, 0.6640

Support level: 0.6220, 0.5985

 

NZDUSD, H1: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.6020. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.5935.

 

Resistance level: 0.6020, 0.6120

Support level: 0.5935, 0.5845

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.4180. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.3970.

 

Resistance level: 1.4180, 1.4390

Support level: 1.3970, 1.3780

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9690. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9690, 0.9775

Support level: 0.9595, 0.9510

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded within a range while currently near the support level at 19.25. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 20.65, 22.50

Support level: 19.25, 17.75

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1698.65. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1745.60, 1770.40

Support level: 1698.65, 1657.80