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21 April 2020                       Afternoon Session Analysis

Aussie slips following RBA minutes.

The Australian dollar which measured its value against the greenback and other currency pairs have fell during late Asian session following the recent release of meeting minutes from RBA. According to the minutes, the board have stated that it will remain committed to supporting jobs, incomes, and business and to do whatever it takes to achieve the three-year bond yield target. The minutes were somewhat less dovish with RBA didn’t plan to boost purchases on bonds, however policymakers have expressed their thought of smaller and less frequent purchases of government bonds would be required in the future. Besides that, the weakening risk sentiment also caused the pair to experience further pressure due to lack of demand from global economy. At the time of writing, AUD/USD fell 0.52% to 0.6301.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price fell 0.31% to $21.33 per barrel as of writing following as fear of weak demand amid coronavirus pandemic continue to dominate the market. According to analyst poll by Reuters, U.S. crude inventories were expected to rise by about 16.1 million barrels in the week to April 17. Main U.S storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma is also expected to be full within a matter of weeks. On the other hand, gold price slips 0.42% to $1688.97 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid strengthening dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
14:00 GBP – Average Earnings Index + Bonus (Feb) 3.1% 3.0%
14:00 GBP – Claimant Count Change 3M/3M (MoM)(Feb) 184K 100K
17:00 EUR – German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Apr) -49.5 -42.3
20:30 CAD – Core Retail Sales (MoM)(Feb) -0.1% 0.3%
22:00 USD – Existing Home Sales (Mar) 5.77M 5.30M
04:30

(22th)

CrudeOIL – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock 13.143M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 99.75. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 100.90.

 

Resistance level: 100.90, 101.65

Support level: 99.75, 98.80

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2385. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2620, 1.2765

Support level: 1.2385, 1.2230

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.0825. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.0975, 1.1125

Support level: 1.0825, 1.0660

 

USDJPY, H1: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 107.70. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 107.35.

 

Resistance level: 107.70, 108.05

Support level: 107.35, 107.05

 

AUDUSD, Daily: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.6460. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.6220.

 

Resistance level: 0.6460, 0.6640

Support level: 0.6220, 0.5985

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.6075. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.5955.

 

Resistance level: 0.6075, 0.6215

Support level: 0.5955, 0.5840

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently near the resistance level at 1.4180. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.4180, 1.4390

Support level: 1.4070, 1.3970

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently near the resistance level at 0.9715. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9715, 0.9775

Support level: 0.9595, 0.9510

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 21.90. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 21.90, 23.45

Support level: 20.30, 17.85

 


GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1701.20. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1701.20, 1737.25

Support level: 1670.95, 1634.75