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23 April 2020                       Afternoon Session Analysis

Sterling slips amid coronavirus woes.

The pound sterling has fell against the greenback and other currency pairs during late Asian session following weak inflation data coupled with concerns of deeper coronavirus impact in the U.K. According to National Statistics, U.K consumer price index have slowed to 1.5% last month from 1.7% in February. The weak data was dragged down by clothing cost and lower energy price amid Covid-19 pandemic. On top of that, analyst have also warned of further economic impact in the U.K ahead. Following recent reports, investors have also begun to raise the probability of extended lockdown, which could continue to cause the pound sterling to struggle. At the time of writing, GBP/USD edge lower 0.05% to 1.2331.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price rebounds 2.24% to $14.84 per barrel as of writing following signs of producers are cutting production to cope with a collapse in demand for fuel. According to latest development, U.S Oklahoma’s energy regulator said companies could shut down digging rigs without losing their leases, an initial victory for struggling U.S. producers seeking relief from the market crash after a surge in production. The state is the fourth-largest oil producer in the U.S. In the other hand, gold price gains 0.13% to $1712.45 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid uncertainty towards global economic outlook continue to support the demand for the safe-haven commodity.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
14:00 GBP – Retail Sales (MoM)(Mar) -0.3% -3.8%
15:30 EUR – German Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 45.4 39.0
16:30 GBP – Composite PMI 36.0
16:30 GBP – Manufacturing PMI 47.8
16:30 GBP – Services PMI 34.5
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 5,245K 4,150K
22:00 USD – New Home Sales (Mar) 765K 645K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher while currently near the resistance level at 100.75. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 100.75, 101.65

Support level: 99.70, 98.35

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.2385. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2385, 1.2620

Support level: 1.2230, 1.2045

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.0795. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.0945, 1.1125

Support level: 1.0795, 1.0660

 

USDJPY, H1: USDJPY was traded within a range while currently near the resistance level at 107.90. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 107.90, 108.40

Support level: 107.30, 106.90

 

AUDUSD, H1: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6280. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.6335.

 

Resistance level: 0.6335, 0.6375

Support level: 0.6280, 0.6230

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the support level at 0.5955. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.5955, 0.6075

Support level: 0.5840, 0.5690

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.4120. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.4250, 1.4445

Support level: 1.4120, 1.4005

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently near the resistance level at 0.9730. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9730, 0.9775

Support level: 0.9595, 0.9510

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded within a range while currently testing the support level at 13.90. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 18.05, 25.50

Support level: 13.90, 10.75

 

 


GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1718.20. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 1687.95.

 

Resistance level: 1718.20, 1737.25

Support level: 1687.95, 1672.80