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08 January 2021                 Morning Session Analysis

US Dollar surged amid upbeat economic data.

The Dollar Index which traded against a basket of six major currency pairs surged on yesterday over the backdrop of a string of upbeat economic data, spurring positive prospect for the economic rebound in upcoming quarters. According to Department of Labour, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims had notched down from the preliminary reading of 790K to 787K, better than the market forecast at 800K. Meanwhile, the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) increased significantly from the previous reading of 55.9 to 57.2, exceeding the market forecast at 54.6. Though, the spiking number of Covid-19 infections in the United States had diminished the recovery momentum in the US economy, which limited the gains experienced by the US Dollar. According to the Worldometer statistics, US still the country that recorded highest number of cases in the world where it has reported more than 20 million cases as of now, while the death toll has risen near to threshold of 370K. Investors would continue to scrutinize the latest updates with regards of the Non-farm payroll data tonight in order to receive further trading signal. As of writing, the Dollar Index appreciated by 0.32% to 89.73.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged 0.06% to $51.85 per barrel as of writing. The overall trading momentum for the crude oil remained bullish amid the hopes upon the Covid-19 vaccine development had dialled up the market optimism toward the crude oil demand in future. On the other hand, the gold price slumped 0.13% to $1916.32 per troy ounces as of writing amid strengthening US Dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21:30 USD – Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 245K 100K
21:30 USD – Unemployment Rate (Dec) 6.7% 6.8%
21:30 CAD – Employment Change (Dec) 62.1K -5.0K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher while currently testing resistance level at 89.85 MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 89.85, 90.50

Support level: 89.25, 88.55

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3560. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3635, 1.3685

Support level: 1.3560, 1.3495

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.2305. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.2205.

 

Resistance level: 1.2305, 1.2450

Support level: 1.2205, 1.2130

 

USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 103.85. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 103.85, 104.55

Support level: 103.05, 102.00

 

AUDUSD, Weekly: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7860. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7860, 0.8135

Support level: 0.7130, 0.6815

 

NZDUSD, Weekly: NZDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7340. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7340, 0.7555

Support level: 0.7110, 0.6905

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2655. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2785, 1.2925

Support level: 1.2655, 1.2415

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.8750. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9065, 0.9285

Support level: 0.8750, 0.8370

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded within a range while currently testing the resistance level at 51.05. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 51.05, 52.50

Support level: 50.05, 48.70

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently near the support level at 1899.85. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1954.15, 2007.25

Support level: 1899.85, 1872.60