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11 March 2021                Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Aussie dips following mixed signals.

During late Asian session, the Australian dollar which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs have fell amid mixed catalyst in Australia such as fear of mass unemployment. As Australia governments wage subsidy program Jobkeeper is set to expire this month, market fears that at least 300,000 jobs will be lost. On top of that, soaring house prices in Sydney also weigh on the sentiment. According to data, Sydney house price have official broke past its previous 2017 peak. However, losses may be limited following upbeat data. Aussie Consumer Inflation Expectation grew 4.1%, higher than market expectation of 3.5%. Also, on the positive side was Aussie government announced A$1.2 billion package to boost tourism and travelling industry which could help recover economy. At the time of writing, AUD/USD dips 0.02% to 0.7727.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price rose 0.45% to $64.92 per barrel as of writing following positive economic outlook. The U.S. House of Representatives gave final approval on Wednesday to one of the largest economic stimulus measures. The stimulus is expected to help speeding economic recovery in U.S and bolstered demand for crude oil in near term. On the other hand, gold price rose 0.27% to $1731.45 a troy ounce at the time of writing following weakness in greenback.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                 Market             Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                 Market             Event

21:30                EUR                   ECB Press Conference

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:45 EUR – ECB Interest Rate Decision (Mar) 0.00% 0.00%
21:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 745K 725K
23:00 USD – JOLTs Job Openings (Jan) 6.646M 6.500M


 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior breakout below the upward trendline. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the index to extend its losses toward the support level at 91.55.

 

Resistance level: 92.10, 92.60

Support level: 91.55, 90.90

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3945. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3945, 1.4085

Support level: 1.3845, 1.3755

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.1890. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.1950.

 

Resistance level: 1.1950, 1.2025

Support level: 1.1890, 1.1830

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 108.50. However, MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term.

 

Resistance level: 108.50, 109.15

Support level: 107.85, 107.35

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7730. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 0.7730.

 

Resistance level: 0.7730, 0.7780

Support level: 0.7660, 0.7600

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.7175. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.7225.

 

Resistance level: 0.7225, 0.7290

Support level: 0.7175, 0.7105

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2610. MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2685, 1.2770

Support level: 1.2610, 1.2555

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.9280. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.9370.

 

Resistance level: 0.9370, 0.9430

Support level: 0.9280, 0.9225

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 64.55. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after its candle successfully closed above the resistance level at 64.55.

 

Resistance level: 64.55, 66.10

Support level: 63.70, 62.60

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher following prior breakout above the resistance level at 1718.15. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1738.10.

 

Resistance level: 1738.10, 1765.20

Support level: 1718.15, 1694.30