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25 March 2021                   Afternoon Session Analysis

Euro fell following weak recovery outlook.

During late Asian session, the Euro which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs remains pressured and fell following ongoing concerns of third wave coronavirus and lack of supply in vaccine. EU continue to struggle in containing the virus as several countries in EU witness a fresh spike in new cases. In Germany, Angela Merkel have reversed its decision to impose strict lockdown on Easter holiday period following criticism. However, the decision did not build any confidence in market and instead causing discontent towards Chancellor Angela Merkel’s handling of the pandemic. On the hand, slow vaccination progress in EU also continue to cloud recovery outlook. Compared to other countries such as US which already have quarter of its residents vaccinated, only about 10% of Europeans do so. At the time of writing, EUR/USD slips 0.05% to 1.1820.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price fell 1.15% to $60.12 per barrel as of writing amid concerns over rising coronavirus cases and demand. Despite with news of closed Suez Canal which may help reduce supply, worries of tighter restrictions and vaccine delay stalling growth for fuel demand continue weighing heavily on the commodity and outweigh the positive news. On the other hand, gold price rose 0.17% to $1737.42 a troy ounce at the time of writing following dollar retreat.

 

Pasaran Tutup Hari Ini

Masa                     Pasaran                Acara

N/A

 

Acara Kemuncak Hari Ini

Masa                     Pasaran                Acara

16:30                     CHF                                         SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

17:30                     GBP                                        BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

17:30                     EUR                                        ECB President Lagarde Speaks

 

Data Ekonomi Kemuncak Hari Ini

Masa Pasaran & Data Terdahulu Ramalan Sebenar
16:30 CHF – SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75%
20:30 USD – GDP (QoQ)(Q4) 33.4% 4.1%
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 770K 730K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 92.55. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 92.55, 93.35

Support level: 91.90, 91.30

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3680. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3815, 1.3990

Support level: 1.3680, 1.3570

 

EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.1850. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.1725.

 

Resistance level: 1.1850, 1.1975

Support level: 1.1725, 1.1615

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 108.30. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 109.20.

 

Resistance level: 109.20, 110.35

Support level: 108.30, 107.55

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7590. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7650, 0.7710

Support level: 0.7590, 0.7505

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 0.7005. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.6900.

 

Resistance level: 0.7005, 0.7105

Support level: 0.6900, 0.6765

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2600. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2600, 1.2745

Support level: 1.2400, 1.2255

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9370. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.9370, 0.9425

Support level: 0.9300, 0.9225

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 61.15. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 61.15, 62.75

Support level: 59.30, 57.45

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level 1739.85. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1739.85, 1767.60

Support level: 1702.60, 1676.90