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2 April 2021                         Afternoon Session Analysis

Aussie stays firm following risk-on mood.

During late Asian session, the Australian dollar which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs have rose as dollar weakness coupled with positive news adding on the sentiment. Despite with Good Friday holiday, movement in U.S dollar continue to play its role in favoring kiwi buyers as U.S treasury yield fell close to 1.67% and affect the greenback at the same time. At the same time, the sentiment was also boosted by news of Australian government ending Brisbane lockdown early while continue to be strict on mask ahead of Easter Holiday. Moreover, adding further to the risk positive was news of Pfizer vaccine is 100$ effective on adolescents. At the time of writing, AUD/USD rose 0.18% to 0.7628.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price rose 0.03% to $61.25 per barrel at the time of writing following increasing demand for travel. According to global flight tracking service Flightradar24, it tracked a total of 77,708 flights, a number which exceeded the previous peak during the Christmas holidays since COVID started spreading. Increasing numbers of travelers would continue to help boosted demand for fuel, thus increasing its price. On the other hand, gold price increased 0.01% to $1729.63 after dollar retreated from its high.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

All Day                   USD                                        Good Friday

All Day                   GBP                                        Good Friday

All Day                   EUR                                        Good Friday

All Day                   AUD                                       Good Friday

All Day                   CAD                                        Good Friday

All Day                   NZD                                        Good Friday

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:30 USD – Nonfarm Payrolls (Mar) 379K 647K
20:30 USD – Unemployment Rate (Mar) 6.2% 6.0%

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 92.60. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 93.40, 94.10

Support level: 92.60, 91.35

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3850. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3845, 1.3895

Support level: 1.3790, 1.3735

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.1780. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.1780, 1.1830

Support level: 1.1710, 1.1640

 

USDJPY, H1: USDJPY was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 110.55. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 111.25, 112.10

Support level: 110.55, 110.00

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7650. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7650, 0.7710

Support level: 0.7585, 0.7535

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6955. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.7110.

 

Resistance level: 0.7110, 0.7250

Support level: 0.6955, 0.6775

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.2630. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.2400.

 

Resistance level: 1.2630, 1.2745

Support level: 1.2400, 1.2255

 

USDCHF, H1: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.9450. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.9450, 0.9525

Support level: 0.9370, 0.9300

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 61.35. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 61.35, 62.65

Support level: 59.55, 57.90

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1723.90. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1741.00.

 

Resistance level: 1741.00, 1753.85

Support level: 1723.90, 1702.15