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11 March 2020                   Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Dollar slips as coronavirus fears persist.

The dollar index have resumed its decline against its basket of six major currency pairs during late Asian session following the ongoing fears over the coronavirus continue to persist. Not long ago, the dollar have recovered some gains after investors hope that the global policymakers will proposed a further stimulus plans to support the economy that affected by travel and trade disruptions. However, as the coronavirus continue to spread across the globe, fears among investors continue to dominate the overall sentiment. The U.S. Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported an increase of 224 cases, bringing the total to 696. At the same time, the number of deaths had risen by six to 25. Investors are expecting that the Fed will cut additional interest rate by another 50 basis point next week which could further diminishing the greenback yield advantage and the appeal of the greenback. At the time of writing, dollar index fell 0.28% to 96.05.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price regains 1.35% to $35.23 per barrel as of writing amid stimulus hopes. According to the latest report, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak has called for a meeting with the country’s oil companies today to discuss the possibility of future cooperation with OPEC. Besides that, news about Trump had spoken with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in a call on Monday to discuss global energy markets also provide an additional boost for the oil market. Next, gold price remains steady and edge higher 0.63% to $1659.83 a troy ounce at the time of writing following weak dollar and ongoing coronavirus concerns.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

Tentative     GBP                 Autumn Budget

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
17:30 GBP – GDP (MoM) 0.3% 0.2%
17:30 GBP – Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jan) 0.3% 0.5%
20:30 USD – Core CPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.2% 0.2%
22:30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories 0.785M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4Dollar index was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 96.00. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower after it successfully breakout below the support level at 96.00.

 

Resistance level: 96.55, 96.80

Support level: 96.00, 95.40

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.2900. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.2975.

 

Resistance level: 1.2975, 1.3015

Support level: 1.2900, 1.2830

 

EURUSD, H1: EURUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.1325. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the next resistance level at 1.1395.

 

Resistance level: 1.1395, 1.1450

Support level: 1.1325, 1.1275

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 104.35.

 

Resistance level: 107.20, 109.25

Support level: 104.35, 102.25

 

AUDUSD, H1: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6510. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 0.6510.

 

Resistance level: 0.6510, 0.6545

Support level: 0.6470, 0.6400

 

NZDUSD, H1: NZDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6285. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 0.6285.

 

Resistance level: 0.6285, 0.6315

Support level: 0.6255, 0.6205

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short term toward the support level at 1.3650.

 

Resistance level: 1.3830, 1.4060

Support level: 1.3650, 1.3360

 

USDCHF, H1: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.9395. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 0.9330.

 

Resistance level: 0.9395, 0.9450

Support level: 0.9330, 0.9265

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior rebound near the support level at 29.75. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 39.20.

 

Resistance level: 39.20, 46.65

Support level: 29.75, 25.30

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1651.10. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1663.90.

 

Resistance level: 1663.90, 1686.45

Support level: 1651.10, 1636.10