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02 September 2021                           Morning Session Analysis

Dollar depreciated amid downbeat job data

The Dollar Index which traded against a basket of six major currency extend its losses following the United States released its bearish job data yesterday, which dialing down the market optimism toward the economic progression for the country. According to Automatic Data Processing (ADP), U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change came in at 374K, missing the market forecast at 613K. Concerns about the spiking numbers of Covid-19 cases as well as bearish job data from the United States had spurred hopes that the Federal Reserve might continue to implement its expansionary monetary policy in longer-term basis, which dragging down the appeal of the US Dollar. Nonetheless, the losses experienced by the US Dollar was limited over the backdrop of upbeat manufacturing data. According to Institute for Supply Management, U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) came in at 59.9, exceeding the market forecast at 58.6. As of writing, the Dollar Index depreciated by 0.02% to 92.50.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged 0.10% to $68.20 per barrel as of writing. The oil market edged higher amid the bullish inventory data was released. According to Energy Information Administration, U.S. Crude Oil Inventories came in at -7.169M, better than the market forecast at -3.088M. On the other hand, the gold price surged 0.03% to $1814.50 per troy ounces as of writing amid weakening US Dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 353K 345K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 92.45. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 93.25, 94.10

Support level: 92.45, 91.80

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3765. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3805, 1.3880

Support level: 1.3765, 1.3735

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.1850. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.1850, 1.1895

Support level: 1.1800, 1.1760

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 109.75. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 110.55, 111.10

Support level: 109.75, 109.20

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.7280. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7375, 0.7480

Support level: 0.7280, 0.7220

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous the resistance level at 0.7015. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7100, 0.7160

Support level: 0.7015, 0.6940

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2650. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2650, 1.2705

Support level: 1.2580, 1.2500

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9105. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9230, 0.9305

Support level: 0.9105, 0.9035

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 68.00. MACD which illustrated bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 69.85, 71.55

Support level: 68.00, 66.10

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1818.80. MACD which illustrated increasing momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1818.80, 1830.65

Support level: 1796.55, 1778.55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk Statement:
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