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8 September 2021                             Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Euro fell amid downbeat economic data.

The Euro was traded lower against US dollar and other currency pairs amid negative economic data. According to the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, German ZEW Economic Sentiment in September eased from the previous reading of 40.4 to 26.5, lower than the forecasted reading of 30.0. The Germany’s economic outlook deteriorated following shortage in global chip supply as well as construction materials which weighed on the profit expectations. Nevertheless, the better-than-expected Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in second quarter which came in at the reading of 2.2%, while exceeding the forecasted reading of 2.0, has limited the bearish momentum of the Euro. Market sentiments remain optimistic amid speculation on possible monetary policy tightening in the EU. On Thursday, investors anticipated that the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce to taper its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) in order to scale down its market stimulus. As of writing, the pair of EUR/USD was down 0.1% to 1.1840.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price slumped 0.1% to $68.38 per barrel as of writing amid the price cutting in Saudi Arabia. Oil price was pressured following the price cutting made by Saudi Arabia in addition to weaker demand of oil demand outlook. On the other hand, the gold price slumped 0.2% to $1797.73 per troy ounces as of writing amid strengthening US dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

Tentative                 CAD                      BOC Press Conference

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
22:00 USD – JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) 10.073M 9.281M
22:00 CAD – BoC Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
22:00 CAD – Ivey PMI (Aug) 56.4

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar was traded higher following recent rebound from the support level 92.05. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal suggest the dollar to extend its rebound towards the resistance level 92.70.

 

Resistance level: 92.70, 93.10

Support level: 92.05, 91.60

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level 1.3760. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3885, 1.3990

Support level: 1.3760, 1.3600

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level 1.1830. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.1885, 1.1950

Support level: 1.1830, 1.1765

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level 110.15. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains towards the resistance level 110.75.

 

Resistance level: 110.75, 111.55

Support level: 110.15, 109.60

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level 0.7415. MACD which illustrate persistent bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses towards the support level 0.7330.

 

Resistance level: 0.7415, 0.7485

Support level: 0.7330, 0.7250

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing near the support level 0.7075. MACD which illustrate persistent bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7145, 0.7225

Support level: 0.7075, 0.6990

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing near the resistance level 1.2685. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains after it breaks above the resistance level 1.2685.

 

Resistance level: 1.2685, 1.2770

Support level: 1.2585, 1.2440

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF remain traded in sideway channel while currently testing the resistance level 0.9200. However, MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains after it breaks above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9200, 0.9245

Support level: 0.9100 0.9025

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level 68.05. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

 

Resistance level: 70.55, 74.30

Support level: 68.05, 65.35

 

GOLD, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level 1792.35. MACD which illustrate ongoing bearish momentum signal suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1831.85, 1866.85

Support level: 1792.35, 1760.35