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27 October 2021                                Afternoon Session Analysis

 

New Zealand dollar slips following downbeat economic data.

New Zealand dollar was traded lower against US dollar amid downbeat economic data. According to Statistics New Zealand, New Zealand Trade Balance in September eased from the previous reading of -2139M to -2171M. The higher trade deficit figures was driven by the higher consumer spending and stronger demand for imported capital goods such as machinery to be used in construction, as well as electric vehicles. Nevertheless, the bearish momentum of New Zealand dollar was limited amid optimisms over the coronavirus woes. According to Deputy Prime Minister Grant Robertson, he expected Counties Manukau to hit the 90 per cent first vaccination target within this week. Robertson also confident that the coronavirus-led lockdown restriction in Auckland could be lifted by the end of November once the Counties Manukau and the region’s two other districts completed their vaccination doses. As of writing, the pair of NZD/USD was down 0.03% to 0.7161.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price slumped 0.24% to $84.30 per barrel as of writing amid bearish US oil inventory data. As of now, the crude oil market continue to experience pressure after recent API data reported a surprise build in crude oil inventory. Investors are now looking towards EIA for further confirmation. On the other hand, the gold price was down 0.01% to $1792.92 se troy ounce amid strengthening US dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

22:00                     CAD                       BoC Monetary Policy Report

23:00                     CAD                       BOC Press Conference

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:30 USD – Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) 0.30% 0.40%
22:00 CAD – BoC Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
22:30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories -0.431M 1.857M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level 93.85. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the dollar to extend its retracement towards the support level 93.40.

 

Resistance level: 93.85, 94.45

Support level: 93.40, 93.00

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded flat while currently testing the support level 1.3755. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded higher towards the resistance level 1.3880.

 

Resistance level: 1.3880, 1.4005

Support level: 1.3755, 1.3650

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded flat while currently testing near the resistance level 1.1615. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded higher after it breaks above the resistance level 1.1615.

 

Resistance level: 1.1615, 1.1680

Support level: 1.1530, 1.1455

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from its high level. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its retracement towards the support level 113.20.

 

Resistance level: 114.60, 115.85

Support level: 111.20, 112.00

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level 0.7485. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal with the formation of golden cross suggest the pair to extend its gains towards the resistance level 0.7565.

 

Resistance level: 0.7565, 0.7660

Support level: 0.7485, 0.7410

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded flat while currently testing the support level 0.7155. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded higher towards the resistance level 0.7230.

 

Resistance level: 0.7230, 0.7300

Support level: 0.7155, 0.7080

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded flat while currently testing near the resistance level 1.2410. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded lower towards the support level 1.2295.

 

Resistance level: 1.2410, 1.2500

Support level: 1.2295, 1.2200

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level 0.9215. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses towards the support level 0.9140.

 

Resistance level: 0.9215, 0.9295

Support level: 0.9140, 0.9080

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil was traded higher while currently testing near the resistance level 84.55. However, MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal suggest the commodity to extend its retracement towards the support level 79.35.

 

Resistance level: 84.00, 88.40

Support level: 79.35, 75.85

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing near the support level 1781.40. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal with the formation of death cross suggest the pair to extend its losses after it breaks below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1812.80, 1831.50

Support level: 1791.40, 1748.55