12 November 2021 Morning Session Analysis
Pound slumped amid downbeat data.
The Pound Sterling slumped on yesterday over the backdrop of a string of downbeat economic data. According to Office for National Statistics, U.K. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for last quarter had slumped significantly from the previous reading of 5.5% to 1.3%, missing the market forecast at 1.5%. Meanwhile, U.K. Manufacturing Production for last month declined from the preliminary reading of 0.3% to 0.1%, which also fared worse-than-expectation at 0.2%. Staff shortages, supply constraints as well as poorer trade performance influenced by more expensive imports of oil had continued to weigh down the trade performance for the United Kingdom. According to theGuardian, the ONS figures indicate that the Britain’s economic recovery to have been slower than the other developed nations, with the U.S. 1.4% above its pre-pandemic peak. Economists expected that despite the economic growth had picked up in September, the U.K. economy is now still below the pre-pandemic level. As of writing, GBP/USD depreciated by 0.03% to 1.3365.
In the commodities market, the crude oil price depreciated by 0.05% to $81.55 per barrel as of writing. The oil market edged lower following the OPEC+ alliances trimmed its forecast for the year’s demand growth by 160,000 bpd to 5.65 million bpd. On the other hand, the gold price extends its gains by 0.04% to $1861.50 per troy ounces as of writing amid high stagflation risk in future continue to increase the appeal for the safe-haven gold.
Today’s Holiday Market Close
Time Market Event
N/A
Today’s Highlight Events
Time Market Event
18:00 EUR ECB Forecast
Today’s Highlight Economic Data
| Time | Nation & Data | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
| 23:00 | USD – JOLTs Job Openings (Sep) | 10.439M | 10.925M | – |
Technical Analysis
DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 94.50. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 95.15, 95.90
Support level: 94.50, 93.80
GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.3425. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 1.3425, 1.3615
Support level: 1.3305, 1.3175
EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.1530. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.1370.
Resistance level: 1.1530, 1.1680
Support level: 1.1370, 1.1175
USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 113.30. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 114.55, 115.40
Support level: 113.30, 112.05
AUDUSD, Daily: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7290. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.
Resistance level: 0.7395, 0.7530
Support level: 0.7290, 0.72180
NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 0.7055. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 0.7055, 0.7110
Support level: 0.6995, 0.6960
USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.2525. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.2635.
Resistance level: 1.2635, 1.2705
Support level: 1.2525, 1.2465
USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9225. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 0.9225, 0.9305
Support level: 0.9155, 0.9075
CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 81.10. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 83.30, 85.85
Support level: 81.10, 79.15
GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1870.00 However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 1870, 1887.00
Support level: 1852.00, 1830.65
Risk Statement:
Forex, Gold, Crude Oil, Commodities, CFD and all other margin trading investment products involve high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Your previous investment success in stock, futures or any other investment achieved does not mean that all your future investment will obtain the same results. You should carefully consider your investment objectives; risk associated and seek professional advice before deciding to trade or if you have any doubts.