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18 August 2020                  Afternoon Session Analysis

Aussie retreats following RBA minutes.

During late Asian session, the Aussie dollar which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs have fell following dovish note in RBA meeting minutes. On earlier during the day, the pair gains after Australia’s ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 88.6, higher than market expectation of 86.5. At the same time, the easing coronavirus also help the pair to remain firm as the latest figures shows 222 new cases and 17 new deaths. The figure were the lowest since July 18. However, dovish note in the RBA minutes have exert some pressure for the Aussie which limit the upside potential for the pair. As expected, RBA maintain its interest rate at the record low of 0.25%. However, the central bank have reaffirmed that there was no need to adjust package measures in Australia and will continue to assess the situation. At the time of writing, AUD/USD slips 0.06% to 0.7208.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price retreats 0.20% to $42.89 per barrel as of writing following OPEC eased cuts. According to reports, OPEC + reduce its agreed cuts to 7.7 million bpd from the previous 9.7 million bpd. OPEC’s joint ministerial monitoring committee (JMMC) on August 19 for further production clues. At the time of writing, gold price rose 0.38% to $1992.89 a troy ounce at the time of writing as a renewed drop in Treasury yields pushed investors back toward safe-haven market.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:30 USD – Building Permits (Jul) 1.258M 1.320M
04:30

(19th)

CrudeOIL – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock -4.400M


Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Weekly: Dollar index was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 93.25. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 93.25, 95.55

Support level: 91.30, 88.85

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3130. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3130, 1.3175

Support level: 1.3075, 1.3010

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.1900. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.1900, 1.1995

Support level: 1.1790, 1.1710

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 106.40. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 105.35.

 

Resistance level: 106.40, 107.35

Support level: 105.35, 104.25

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level 0.7230. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7230, 0.7330

Support level: 0.7105, 0.7015

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently near the support level at 0.6530. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.6575, 0.6625

Support level: 0.6530, 0.6465

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3165. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3330, 1.3470

Support level: 1.3165, 1.3035

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9035. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9195, 0.9330

Support level: 0.9035, 0.8860

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level 42.05. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 43.05, 44.55

Support level: 42.10, 40.95

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1993.85. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1993.85, 2022.10

Support level: 1937.40, 1906.85