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10 July 2019                        Afternoon Session Analysis

 

 

 

AUD slumps as China data disappoints.

Australian dollar extended its losses during Asian trading session following bearish economic data from its major exporting partner China. As of writing, pair of AUD/USD depreciates by 0.09% to 0.6921. In China, its Producer Price Index for the month of June came in at 0.0%, missing economist expectation to rise by 0.3%. The lower than expected inflationary data for producers has cast a bearish outlook upon the Aussie dollar and thus evoking higher short volume this morning. However, its losses were limited after China’s Consumer Price Index came in within economist expectation with the reading of 2.7% for the month of June. On the other hand, pair of USD/JPY rose 0.05% to 108.90. Japanese yen undergoes higher selling pressure following a change of risk appetite while investors look ahead towards testimonial from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in front of US Congress tonight.

 

In terms of commodities market, crude oil price appreciates by 0.43% to $58.50 per barrel. Oil price edged higher after American Petroleum Institute reported a higher than expected draw in oil inventories by -8.129 million barrels. On the other hand, gold price depreciates by 0.36% to $1,392.72 a troy ounce due to increasing demand for riskier assets.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

22.00                     USD                                        Fed Chair Powell Testifies

22.00                     CAD                                        BoC Monetary Policy Report

22.00                     CAD                                        BoC Rate Statement

22.15                     CAD                                        BoC Press Conference

02.00(11th)           USD                        FOMC Meeting Minutes

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
16.30 GBP – GDP (MoM) -0.4% 0.3%
16.30 GBP – Manufacturing Production (MoM) (May) -3.9% 2.2%
22.00 CAD – BoC Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.75%
22.30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories -1.085M -3.081M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 96.90. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 97.35.

 

Resistance level: 97.35, 98.00

Support level: 96.90, 96.50

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.2500. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term toward the resistance level at 1.2500.

 

Resistance level: 1.2500, 1.2555

Support level: 1.2435, 1.2370

 

EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.1210. MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.1170.

 

Resistance level: 1.1210, 1.1245

Support level: 1.1170, 1.1125

 

USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 108.70. MACD which illustrate bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 109.20.

 

Resistance level: 109.20, 109.55

Support level: 108.70, 108.20

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 0.6935. MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 0.6910.

 

Resistance level: 0.6935, 0.6965

Support level: 0.6910, 0.6865

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 0.6600. MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 0.6570.

 

Resistance level: 0.6600, 0.6635

Support level: 0.6570, 0.6540

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3135. MACD which illustrate bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after successfully breakout above the resistance level at 1.3135.

 

Resistance level: 1.3135, 1.3165

Support level: 1.3095, 1.3050

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded flat while currently testing the support level at 0.9925. MACD which illustrate bearish signal suggests the pair to extend its losses after successfully breakout below the support level at 0.9925.

 

Resistance level: 0.9965, 1.0010

Support level: 0.9925, 0.9895

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 58.60. MACD which illustrate bullish signal suggests its price to extend its gains toward the next resistance level at 60.35.

 

Resistance level: 60.35, 61.30

Support level: 58.60, 57.85

 

GOLD_, Daily: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the 20 moving average line (Red). MACD which illustrate bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses after successfully breakout below the 20 moving average line (Red).

 

Resistance level: 1401.50, 1420.55

Support level: 1383.60, 1354.55