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05 January 2021               Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Dollar surged amid heightening of market uncertainties.

Dollar index which gauges its value against a basket of six major currencies spiked amid rising of market concerns over the resurgence of mutated virus in UK. According to the Worldometer Statistics, UK has reported more than 57k cases per day as of Monday while the virus-related death toll had been pushed to the level of 75K in total. With the backdrop of exacerbating pandemic in UK, local government has decided to re-implement lockdown measure in order to curb the spread of new strain of coronavirus. Under the new tier of lockdown, primary school and secondary forced to close, and all nonessential shops are not allowed to operate during the lockdown period. The implementation of lockdown measure ignited the market worries as they are expecting more countries to follow UK step on, or stricter movement control could be seen as well. Besides, with two runoff races in Georgia on Tuesday set to determine the balance of power in the U.S. Senate, investors are moving their capital to safe-haven asset while putting their attention over the election result. As of writing, dollar index retraces 0.05% to 89.60.

In the commodities market, the crude oil price rebounds by 0.89% to $47.65 per barrel after slumping more than 5% last night. Yesterday, OPEC+ decided to adjourn its meeting about oil production plan in February as they opposed against Russia proposal for a supply hike in February. Besides, gold price surged 0.05% to $1942.45 per troy ounce as heightening of virus pandemic sapped the investor’s demand over riskier asset.

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                     Market                 Event

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Today’s Highlight Events

Time                     Market                 Event

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Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
16:55 EUR –     German Unemployment Change (Dec) -39K 10K
23:00 USD – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 57.5 56.6

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 89.90. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its losses toward the support level at 89.60.

 

Resistance level: 89.90, 90.25

Support level: 89.60, 89.30

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.3535. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.3620.

 

Resistance level: 1.3620, 1.3710

Support level: 1.3535, 1.3470

 

EURUSD, H1: EURUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.2260. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher toward the resistance level at 1.2300.

 

Resistance level: 1.2300, 1.2325

Support level: 1.2260, 1.2205

 

USDJPY, H1: USDJPY was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 103.00. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level at 103.00.

 

Resistance level: 103.65, 104.00

Support level: 103.00, 102.55

 

AUDUSD, H1: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.7680. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher toward the resistance level at 0.7740.

 

Resistance level: 0.7740, 0.7785

Support level: 0.7680, 0.7635

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.7170. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher toward the resistance level at 0.7225.

 

Resistance level: 0.7225, 0.7270

Support level: 0.7170, 0.7100

 

USDCAD, H1: USDCAD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.2770. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower toward the support level at 1.2695.

 

Resistance level: 1.2770, 1.2825

Support level: 1.2695, 1.2625

 

USDCHF, H1: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.8820. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 0.8780.

 

Resistance level: 0.8820, 0.8855

Support level: 0.8780, 0.8740

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded higher following pr support level at 47.90. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 48.15.

 

Resistance level: 48.15, 48.65

Support level: 47.10, 46.20

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at1936.85. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher toward the resistance level at 1950.00.

 

Resistance level: 1950.00, 1958.70

Support level: 1936.85, 1923.00