05 March 2020 Afternoon Session Analysis
Aussie remain steady following upbeat trade data.
The Australian dollar which traded against the dollar and its peers remain steady on high level after the above-forecast trade surplus data. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s trade surplus for January came in at 5210M, beating market expectation of 4800M by a huge margin. Despite data showed that the exports fell by 3% while imports also fell by 3%, the positive sentiment did not faltered as investors have already expected a slowdown in the economy due to the outbreak of the coronavirus in China. Besides that, recent positive data such as GDP also continue to support the demand for the Aussie in short term. Still, upside potential may be limited due to the future prospect of quantitative easing while market awaits for confirmation from data to determine further direction. At the time of writing, AUD/USD edge higher 0.03% to 0.6615.
In the commodities market, crude oil price fell 0.16% to $47.34 per barrel at the time of writing following reluctant from Russia. According to the latest development, Saudi Arabia and members of OPEC are struggling to convince Russia to participate in cutting additional output of more than 1 million barrels per day. Russia is looking to have its participation in any fresh cut at the minimum possible level, a source told Reuters on Wednesday. In the other hand, gold price rose 0.02% to $1637.53 a troy ounce as of writing following coronavirus risk and global central bank easing continue to support the demand for the commodity.
Today’s Holiday Market Close
Time Market Event
N/A
Today’s Highlight Events
Time Market Event
18:00 CrudeOIL OPEC Meeting
01:00 GBP BoE Gov Carney Speaks
(6th)
01:45 CAD BoC Gov Poloz Speaks
(6th)
Today’s Highlight Economic Data
| Time | Nation & Data | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
| 21:30 | USD – Initial Jobless Claims | 219K | 215K | – |
Technical Analysis
DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 97.60. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 97.60, 98.20
Support level: 97.00, 96.50
GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2875. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.
Resistance level: 1.2870, 1.2955
Support level: 1.2760, 1.2680
EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was lower while currently testing the support level at 1.1130. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.
Resistance level: 1.1175, 1.1240
Support level: 1.1130, 1.1065
USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 107.65. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 107.65, 108.45
Support level: 106.80, 106.05
AUDUSD, Daily: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6480. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.6720.
Resistance level: 0.6720, 0.6915
Support level: 0.6480, 0.6285
NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6270. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 0.6325, 0.6400
Support level: 0.6270, 0.6205
USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3405. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.
Resistance level: 1.3405, 1.3465
Support level: 1.3325, 1.3250
USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9540. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.
Resistance level: 0.9620, 0.9715
Support level: 0.9540, 0.9465
CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 46.70. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward resistance level at 48.20.
Resistance level: 48.20, 49.25
Support level: 46.70, 45.45
GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1652.25. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 1626.65.
Resistance level: 1652.25, 1683.10
Support level: 1626.65, 1588.45