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05 March 2021                   Afternoon Session Analysis

Euro slips amid downbeat Eurozone data.

During late Asian session, the Euro which traded against the dollar and other currency pairs have plunged to new lows following recent release of downbeat inflation data from Eurozone. According to Eurostat, the latest Eurozone Retail Sales data for January have fell to -5.9%, worst then market expectation of 1.1%. Following the result, EUR investors are becoming more concerned about the outlook for the Eurozone’s economy, which appears to be heading for a double-dip recession. Added to this, EU’s delay in COVID-19 vaccine rollout earlier this year also continue to dampen market confidence towards the recovery in EU in the coming months. On the other hand, the pair was also pressured heavily by surging dollar strength due to recent comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and higher U.S yield. Following all these factors, the pair have already experience huge selling pressure and causing a sharp drop in value. At the time of writing, EUR/USD fell 0.11% to 1.1960.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price soars 0.56% to $64.33 per barrel as of writing following market continue to digest news of OPEC decision to maintain supply curb. OPEC and its allies agreed to not increase supply in April as they await a more solid recovery in demand from the coronavirus pandemic. On the other hand, gold price fell 0.18% to $1694.51 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid rising dollar strength.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21:30 USD – Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb) 49K 18K
21:30 USD – Unemployment Rate (Feb) 6.3% 6.3%
23:30 CAD – Ivey PMI (Feb) 48.4


Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 90.95. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 92.05.

 

Resistance level: 92.05, 92.90

Support level: 90.95, 90.10

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3855. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3985, 1.4085

Support level: 1.3855, 1.3775

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.1955. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2030, 1.2090

Support level: 1.1955, 1.1860

 

USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 108.00. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 108.00, 109.05

Support level: 106.95, 106.00

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7700. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7755, 0.7800

Support level: 0.7700, 0.7650

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7165. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7240, 0.7365

Support level: 0.7165, 0.7105

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.2615. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.2720.

 

Resistance level: 1.2720, 1.2785

Support level: 1.2615, 1.2560

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9290. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9290, 0.9385

Support level: 0.9200, 0.9040

 

CrudeOIL, Daily: Crude oil price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 64.55. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 64.55, 70.20

Support level: 59.40, 52.40

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1685.85. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1711.70, 1737.55

Support level: 1685.85, 1661.50