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5 April 2021                         Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Euro remains weak following vaccination slowdown.

During late Asian session, the Euro which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs remains pressured and fell as the EU continue to struggle to recover from the pandemic. As of now, investors continue to digest the problem of vaccination programs in the EU which is currently still unresolved. Last week, the French Finance Minister had lowered the economic expectations for the year following the slowdown vaccinations. Most countries in the EU have launched vaccination programs later than expected due to lack of vaccine stocks and confidence among its citizens towards vaccination. In addition, the increasing cases of coronavirus also weigh heavily on the pair as several countries such as France, Germany and Italy have announced new restrictions to curb the increase in coronavirus cases. At the time of writing, EUR/USD fell 0.02% to $1.1766 at.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price slips 0.26% to $61.05 per barrel as of writing amid market continue to digest news of OPEC to lowered its production cuts between May and July. Under last week Thursday’s agreement, OPEC production cuts would be just above 6.5 million barrels per day from May, slightly lesser than April with 7 million. However, steady pace of vaccination in most countries and increasing travel may help offset the losses while market awaits for further signal. On the other hand, gold price fell 0.22% to $1725.84 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid rising dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                                   Event

All Day                   GBP                                        Easter

All Day                   EUR                                        Easter

All Day                   AUD                                        Easter

All Day                   CAD                                        Easter

All Day                   NZD                                        Easter

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
22:00 USD – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Mar) 55.3 58.5

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded flat after recent retracement from resistance level 93.30. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum signal suggest the dollar to be traded higher in short term towards the resistance level 93.30.

 

Resistance level: 93.30, 94.20

Support level: 92.40, 91.55

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD remain traded in a sideway channel while currently testing near the resistance level 1.3855. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded lower towards the support level 1.3675.

 

Resistance level: 1.3855, 1.4005

Support level: 1.3675, 1.3550

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded flat after recent rebound from the support level 1.1700. However, MACD which illustrate bullish bias signal suggest the pair to be traded higher towards the resistance level 1.1850.

 

Resistance level: 1.1850, 1.1985

Support level: 1.1700, 1.1605

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY remain traded in a sideway channel. However, MACD which illustrate bearish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded lower in short term towards the support level 110.25.

 

Resistance level: 110.90, 111.60

Support level: 110.25, 109.75

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD remain traded in a sideway channel while currently testing near the resistance level 0.7640. However, MACD which illustrate bullish bias signal suggest the pair to be traded higher after it breaks above the resistance level 0.7640.

 

Resistance level: 0.7640, 0.7715

Support level: 0.7555, 0.7450

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD remain traded in a sideway channel while currently testing the resistance level 0.7035. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to be traded lower towards the support level 0.6945.

 

Resistance level: 0.7035, 0.7110

Support level: 0.6945, 0.6870

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD remain traded in a sideway channel. However, MACD which illustrate bullish bias signal with the formation of golden cross suggest the pair to be traded higher in short term towards the resistance level 1.2610.

 

Resistance level: 1.2610, 1.2745

Support level: 1.2475, 1.2360

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF remain traded flat in a sideway channel. However, MACD which display bullish bias signal suggest the pair to be traded higher in short term towards the resistance level 0.9455.

 

Resistance level: 0.9455, 0.9525

Support level: 0.9365, 0.9300

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price remain traded in sideway channel while currently testing near the resistance level 61.70. However, MACD which illustrate bullish momentum signal with the formation of golden cross suggest the commodity to be traded higher after it breaks above the resistance level 61.70.

 

Resistance level: 61.70, 63.70

Support level: 59.40, 57.50

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher after it recently breaks above the resistance level 1702.30 However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the commodity to experience a technical correction back towards the level 1702.30.

 

Resistance level: 1742.20, 1767.45

Support level: 1702.30, 1677.25