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7 April 2021                         Afternoon Session Analysis

Aussie rose following risk-on mood.

During late Asian session, the Australian dollar which traded against the dollar and other currency pairs have rose as market risk appetite improved due to recent RBA meeting. As expected, the RBA has left its interest rate unchanged and three-year government bond yield target at 0.1%. In its statement, RBA also express optimism on economic recovery and stated that the economic recovery is stronger than has been expected. The positive statement has continued to provide a modest boost for the Aussie dollar until now. Besides that, falling dollar which caused by surging treasury yields also keeping the Aussie buyers happy. At the time of writing, AUD/USD rose 0.09% to 0.7653.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price held steady and jumps 0.51% to $59.52 per barrel as of writing following prospect of fuel demand recovery brighten. IMF stated that global growth of 6% in 2021 could be attainable as it opened its 2021 spring meetings on Apr. 5. Meanwhile, U.S. President Joe Biden moved up the COVID-19 vaccine eligibility target for all American adults to Apr. 19, widening the vaccine rollout and further boosting fuel demand recovery hopes. On the other hand, gold price rose 0.12% to $1738.53 a troy ounce at the time of writing following depreciation of greenback.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

02:00                     USD                                        FOMC Meeting Minutes

(8th)

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
16:30 GBP – Composite PMI (Mar) 56.6 56.6
16:30 GBP – Services PMI (Mar) 56.8 56.8
22:00 CAD – Ivey PMI (Mar) 60.0 60.5
22:30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories -0.876M -1.325M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 92.50. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 92.50, 92.95

Support level: 91.95, 91.25

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.3845. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.3790.

 

Resistance level: 1.3845, 1.3885

Support level: 1.3790, 1.3740

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.1830. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.1895.

 

Resistance level: 1.1895, 1.1945

Support level: 1.1830, 1.1780

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 110.00. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 110.00, 110.75

Support level: 109.20, 108.50

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7665. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7665, 0.7710

Support level: 0.7585, 0.7535

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6955. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.7110.

 

Resistance level: 0.7110, 0.7250

Support level: 0.6955, 0.6775

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.2515. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.2630.

 

Resistance level: 1.2630, 1.2680

Support level: 1.2515, 1.2460

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9300. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.9355, 0.9450

Support level: 0.9300, 0.9225

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 59.15. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 62.05, 63.70

Support level: 59.15, 57.35

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1745.60. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 1722.90.

 

Resistance level: 1745.60, 1754.95

Support level: 1722.90, 1710.70