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7 July 2021                           Afternoon Session Analysis

Euro slumped on downbeat economic reading.

The Euro extends its losses over the backdrop of bearish economic data from European region yesterday, which spurring negative prospect on the economic momentum in Europe countries and diminishing market demand on the Euro. According to ZEW, Germany ZEW Economic sentiment notched down significantly from the previous reading of 79.8 to 63.3, missing the market forecast at 75.2. Besides, resurgence of Covid-19 in Asia-Pacific region and the outbreak of various variants, which do resist vaccines, had also stoked a shift in sentiment toward safe-haven currencies, which dragging down the appeal of the Euro. Recent chatters highlight Epsilon and Lambda virus as the key challenges to the economic outlook in the global economy. Nonetheless, investors would continue to scrutinize the key weekly events of FOMC meeting minutes as well as meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) to gauge the likelihood movement for the currencies. As of writing, EUR/USD depreciated by 0.01% to 1.1825.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price extends its losses 0.51% to $73.60 per barrel as of writing. The crude oil price slumped over the concerns of the spiking numbers of the Covid-19 cases in Asia-Pacific countries and the variation of the virus, which dialed down the market optimism toward the future oil demand. On the other hand, the gold price depreciated by 0.09% to $1798.55 per troy ounces amid investors speculated that the Federal Reserve would unleash its dovish tone in the FOMC meeting minutes report tomorrow.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

02:00                     USD                                        FOMC Meeting Minutes (8th)

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
22:00 USD – JOLTs Job Openings (May) 9.286M 9.388M
22:00 CAD – Ivey PMI (Jun) 64.7

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following a rebound from the lower levels. MACD which illustrated bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 92.55, 92.85

Support level: 92.20, 91.90

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from higher level. MACD which illustrated bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 1.3805, 1.3860

Support level: 1.3750, 1.3690

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following prior retrace from 1.1870. MACD which illustrated bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 1.1840, 1.1870

Support level: 1.1810, 1.1770

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from higher levels. MACD which illustrated bearish momentum suggests the pair to be traded lower after closing below 110.45.

 

Resistance level: 110.70, 110.95

Support level: 110.45, 110.15

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following a retracement from higher levels. MACD which shows diminished bullish momentum suggests the pair to extend its losses in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 0.7510, 0.7560

Support level: 0.7475, 0.7450

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7015. MACD which illustrate bearish momentum suggests the pair to extend its losses after closing below 0.7015.

 

Resistance level: 0.7070, 0.7115

Support level: 0.7015, 0.6975

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.2320. MACD which illustrated bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after closing above 1.2470.

 

Resistance level: 1.2470, 1.2510

Support level: 1.2400, 1.2320

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher following a rebound near 0.9200. MACD which illustrate diminished bullish momentum suggests the pair to be traded higher in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 0.9270, 0,9205

Support level: 0.9230, 0.9200

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which shows increasing bearish momentum suggests its price to extend losses after breaking the support level of 73.25.

 

Resistance level: 74.00, 74.70

Support level: 73.25, 72.55

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrate diminished bullish momentum suggests its price to extend its losses after closing below 1795.00.

 

Resistance level: 1813.00, 1830.00

Support level: 1795.00, 1783.00