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8 April 2021                         Afternoon Session Analysis

Euro slips amid ongoing cautious mood.

During late Asian session, the Euro dollar which traded against the greenback and other currency pairs have fell as market remains cautious towards vaccinations issues in EU and third wave coronavirus. While EU insists on achieving a vaccination rate of more than 50% by the end of the second quarter of this year, most investors are being skeptical towards the plan. According to data released by European Centre for Disease Prevention, vaccination rates have sped up in many states, but figures still far below 80%. Third wave coronavirus in EU also continue to weigh on the sentiment where countries such as France, Italy, Germany and Spain are increasing being quarantined as of now. As of writing, EUR/USD fell 0.03% to 1.1870.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price held steady and edge higher 0.09% to $59.52 per barrel as of writing following investors continue to weighing OPEC plans to increase production against vaccine rollout. OPEC is restoring more than 2 million barrels a day to ease productions curbs over three months to July. Despite that, sentiment also support by recent data from EIA which showed a pickup in oil demand while market awaits for more catalyst. On the other hand, gold price fell 0.08% to $1738.71 a troy ounce at the time of writing following slight recovery in dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

19:30                     EUR                                        ECB Monetary Policy Statement

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
16:30 GBP – Construction PMI (Mar) 53.3 54.6
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 719K 680K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 92.50. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 92.50, 92.95

Support level: 91.95, 91.25

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3720. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3815, 1.3895

Support level: 1.3720, 1.3565

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.1895. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.1780.

 

Resistance level: 1.1890, 1.1930

Support level: 1.1830, 1.1780

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 110.00. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 110.00, 110.75

Support level: 109.20, 108.50

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.7650. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.7585.

 

Resistance level: 0.7650, 0.7710

Support level: 0.7585, 0.7535

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.7070. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.6955.

 

Resistance level: 0.7070, 0.7140

Support level: 0.6955, 0.6830

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2630. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2630, 1.2680

Support level: 1.2515, 1.2460

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9305. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9305, 0.9355

Support level: 0.9225, 0.9150

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 18.15. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward resistance level at 62.05.

 

Resistance level: 62.05, 63.70

Support level: 58.15, 55.25

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1745.10. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 1722.90.

 

Resistance level: 1745.10, 1759.00

Support level: 1722.90, 1710.70