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09 March 2021                Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Dollar extend gains on rising yields and recovery.

During late Asian session, the dollar index which traded against a basket of six major currency pairs have continue to soar following higher bond yields and expectation of fast economy recovery added advantage for the greenback. U.S 10-year Treasury yields remain resilient and hovered around 1.6% as market continue to expect higher inflation and upbeat prospect for U.S economy. The expectation of faster recovery also increased following data reported about 30 million people, or 9.2% of the U.S. population have been vaccinated. On top of that, greenback sentiment was also supported by recent passing of U.S stimulus. The plan will be returned and voted in the House of Representatives on Wednesday before it is sent to U.S. President Joe Biden for signature and formal implementation. At the time of writing, dollar index rose 0.10% to 92.36.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price rose 1.04% to $65.30 per barrel as of writing following expectation of global economic recovery that could increase fuel demand. Market focus remains on economic recovery as U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated on Monday that President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus aid package will provide enough resources to fuel a “very strong” U.S. economic recovery. On the other hand, gold price slips 0.11% to $1686.53 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid rising dollar strength.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                 Market             Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                 Market             Event

20:00                CrudeOIL         EIA Short-term Energy Outlook

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

N/A

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 92.10. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to undergo technical correction in short term.

 

Resistance level: 92.60, 93.00

Support level: 92.10, 91.55

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded flat near the resistance level at 1.3845. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3845, 1.3945

Support level: 1.3755, 1.3625

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.1830. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term toward higher level.

 

Resistance level: 1.1890, 1.1950

Support level: 1.1830, 1.1755

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 109.15. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 109.15, 109.65

Support level: 108.55, 107.85

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the support level at 0.7660. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term toward higher level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7660, 0.7730

Support level: 0.7600, 0.7560

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7105. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to undergo technical rebound in short term.

 

Resistance level: 0.7165, 0.7225

Support level: 0.7105, 0.7075

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.2685. MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.2610.

 

Resistance level: 1.2685, 1.2770

Support level: 1.2610, 1.2555

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.9370. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term.

 

Resistance level: 0.9370, 0.9430

Support level: 0.9290, 0.9225

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 64.55. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 66.10.

 

Resistance level: 66.10, 67.70

Support level: 64.55, 63.70

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher following prior rebound from the bottom level of downward channel. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains in short term.

 

Resistance level: 1694.05, 1712.45

Support level: 1666.70, 1637.45