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10 January 2020                   Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Greenback steady ahead of NFP.

Dollar index which gauge against a basket of six major currency pairs stays firm ahead of Non-Farm Payroll and signing of trade deal. Recently, a series of strong economic data showing an improvement in the U.S service sector, falling unemployment claims and solid private hiring continue to support the strength of the greenback. On trade war, the easing Middle East tension also help further strengthen the demand for the dollar as United States and Iran temporary backed away from further confrontation after recent U.S drone attack that killed a top Iranian military commander. Still, market remains cautious while currently focusing on upcoming payroll and further development to gauge further sentiment on the greenback. At the time of writing, dollar index edge higher 0.05% to 97.07.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price remain pressured and fell 0.40% to $59.38 per barrel as of writing as threat in the Middle East recedes. Following the easing tension between U.S and Iran have slowly receded, current market continues to react towards economic growth prospects and increasing U.S crude inventories. On the other hand, gold price also slips 0.32% to $1547.20 at the time of writing as the strength of greenback supported by easing tension continue to diminishing further the appeal of the safe-haven commodities.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21.30 USD – Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 266K 160K
21:30 USD – Unemployment Rate (Dec) 3.5% 3.5%
21:30 CAD – Employment Change (Dec) -71.2K 22.5K
02:00

(11th)

CrudeOIL – Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 670

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 96.85. MACD which illustrate bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 97.25.

 

Resistance level: 97.25, 97.70

Support level: 96.85, 96.25

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound near the support level at 1.3035. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.3100.

 

Resistance level: 1.3100, 1.3165

Support level: 1.3035, 1.2965

 

EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.1170. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.1075.

 

Resistance level: 1.1170, 1.1240

Support level: 1.1075, 1.1005

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 109.25. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to undergo short term technical correction toward the support level at 109.25.

 

Resistance level: 109.70, 110.00

Support level: 109.25, 108.95

 

AUDUSD, H1: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the top level of sideway channel. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the top level at 0.6880.

 

Resistance level: 0.6880, 0.6925

Support level: 0.6850, 0.6815

 

NZDUSD, H1: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound form the support level at 0.6600. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.6620.

 

Resistance level: 0.6620, 0.6640

Support level: 0.6600, 0.6570

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the 20 moving average line (red). MACD which illustrated bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the 20 moving average line (red).

 

Resistance level: 1.3085, 1.3145

Support level: 1.3020, 1.2960

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9725. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level at 0.9725.

 

Resistance level: 0.9770, 0.9810

Support level: 0.9725, 0.9690

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 59.70. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward the support level at 58.60.

 

Resistance level: 59.70, 60.35

Support level: 58.60, 57.60

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1551.10. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1551.10, 1572.10

Support level: 1539.15, 1530.05