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21 June 2021                       Morning Session Analysis

Pound dipped on bearish data.

GBP/USD slumped significantly amid strengthening US Dollar following the Federal Reserve unleashed their hawkish tone last week. Besides, the Pound Sterling extend its losses over the backdrop of bearish economic data from UK region. According to Office for National Statistics, U.K. Retail Sales declined significantly from the previous reading of 9.2% to -1.4%, missing the market forecast at 1.6%, which dialed down the market optimism toward the economic progression in UK region. In addition, spiking number of Delta variant of Covid-19 in UK and Brexit deadlock had also spurred further bearish momentum on the Pound Sterling. According to Public Health England, the number of confirmed cases of the delta variant has risen from 33,630 last week to 75,953 this week. On top of that, there were more than 11,000 daily new Covid-19 cases reported in the UK on 17th June, the largest daily increase since mid-February. As of writing, GBP/USD depreciated by 0.08% to 1.3818.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged 0.69% to $71.90 per barrel as of writing. The oil price surged following OPEC sources claimed that the producer group expected to limit U.S. oil output growth this year despite rising prices, according to Reuters. On the other hand, the gold price slumped 0.10% to $1769.00 per troy ounces as of writing amid earlier hawkish statement from the Federal Reserve continue to diminish the appeal of safe-haven gold.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

22:15                    EUR                                        ECB President Lagarde Speaks

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

N/A

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 92.45. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 92.45. 93.25

Support level: 91.50, 90.35

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.4020. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3915, 1.3990

Support level: 1.3810, 1.3695

 

EURUSD, Daily: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.1855. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.1955, 1.2065

Support level: 1.1855, 1.1725

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 110.30. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 110.30, 110.90

Support level: 109.75, 109.05

 

AUDUSD, Daily: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7465. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7585, 0.7700

Support level: 0.7465, 0.7365

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.6940. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7120, 0.7300

Support level: 0.6940, 0.6770

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.2380. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.2605.

 

Resistance level: 1.2605, 1.2855

Support level: 1.2380, 1.2040

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.9180. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.9305.

 

Resistance level: 0.9305, 0.9445

Support level: 0.9180, 0.9095

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 70.50. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward resistance level at 72.55.

 

Resistance level: 72.55, 73.70

Support level: 70.50, 68.60

 

GOLD_, Daily: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1766.85. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1814.35, 1871.45

Support level: 1766.85, 1729.60