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23 March 2021                   Afternoon Session Analysis

Dollar rose following ongoing optimism on recovery.

During late Asian session, the dollar index which traded against a basket of six major currency pairs remains supported and rose following increasing optimism towards U.S economic recovery. As of now, speedy rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines and Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus are seen lifting the U.S economy growth and drawing attention to the greenback. Following latest development on vaccination in U.S, more states such as West Virginia, Tennessee and Arizona are now opening vaccine access to all residents over the age of 16 as C.D.C. director urged Americans to take the threat of a new surge seriously. Separately, Biden’s stimulus package also showing signs of positive changes in U.S economy. U.S Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that growth and possibly full employment could return next year thanks to massive coronavirus stimulus package. As of now, investors will now wait for more catalyst to gauge further sentiment. At the time of writing, dollar index rose 0.13% to 91.83.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price slips 0.59% to $60.87 per barrel as of writing following concerns of uneven COVID-19 recovery and demand impact. While U.S and U.K are racing to inoculate its residents, challenges remain for EU countries as they are battling with potential third wave coronavirus, shortage of vaccine and lockdowns. On the other hand, gold price slips 0.26% to $1734.40 a troy ounce at the time of writing amid rising dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

19:50                     GBP                                        BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

22:00                     USD                        Fed Chair Powell Testifies

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
15:00 GBP – Average Earnings Index+Bonus (Jan) 4.7% 4.9%
15:00 GBP – Claimant Count Change (Feb) -20.0K
22:00 USD – New Home Sales (Feb) 923K 875K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 91.30. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 92.45, 93.35

Support level: 91.30, 90.65

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3875. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3990, 1.4085

Support level: 1.3825, 1.3680

 

EURUSD, H1: EURUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.1945. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.1910.

 

Resistance level: 1.1945, 1.1985

Support level: 1.1910, 1.1865

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 109.20. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 109.20, 110.35

Support level: 108.05, 106.95

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7710. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7800, 0.7880

Support level: 0.7710, 0.7650

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.7160. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.7160, 0.7240

Support level: 0.7105, 0.7050

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.2495. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2560, 1.2615

Support level: 1.2495, 1.2415

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9225. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.9315, 0.9375

Support level: 0.9225, 0.9150

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 61.65. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 59.30.

 

Resistance level: 61.65, 63.65

Support level: 59.30, 57.45

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded within a range while currently testing the resistance level at 1738.25. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 1738.25, 1771.30

Support level: 1705.10, 1684.10