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23 March 2022                   Morning Session Analysis

US Dollar slumped as risk-on sentiment lingered in market.

The Dollar Index which traded against a basket of six major currencies retreated from its higher level as profit taking following market participants had digested the hawkish tone from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In fact, the rise in US equities market had also insinuated risk-on sentiment in the global financial market, which prompting investors to shift their portfolio toward riskier asset such as Pound Sterling. The banking sector in United States rebounded significantly as investors speculated the rate hike expectation from Fed as well as the economic recovery would likely to enhance the prospect for the banking sector. Besides, the retracement of oil price yesterday had sparked positive prospect toward the economic momentum in future, which spurring further bearish momentum on the safe-haven US Dollar. As of writing, the Dollar Index depreciated by 0.08% to 98.42.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price depreciated by 0.04% to $110.75 per barrel as of writing following the European Union’s foreign ministers unable to reach consensus with regards of whether to impose sanctions on Russia’s energy sector over its invasion of Ukraine. On the other hand, the gold price slumped 0.01% to $1921.40 pre troy ounces as of writing amid risk-on sentiment in the global financial market.

 

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

20:00                     GBP                                        BoE Gov Bailey Speaks

20:00                     USD                                        Fed Chair Powell Speaks

20:30                     GBP                                        Annual Budget Release

 

 

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
15:00 GBP – CPI (YoY) (Feb) 5.50% 5.90%
22:00 USD – New Home Sales (Feb) 801K 813K
22:30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories 4.345M

 

 

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 97.80. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the index to be traded lower as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 99.35, 100.40

Support level: 97.80, 96.45

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing resistance level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum  suggest the pair to be traded lower as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3300, 1.3420

Support level: 1.3195, 1.3125

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.1135, 1.1245

Support level: 1.0980, 1.0820

 

USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains.

 

Resistance level: 122.95, 125.55

Support level: 119.90, 116.15

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains.

 

Resistance level: 0.7525, 0.7595

Support level: 0.7410, 0.7250

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after successfully breakout.

 

Resistance level: 0.6965, 0.7045

Support level: 0.6905, 0.6800

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.

 

Resistance level: 1.2755, 1.2890

Support level: 1.2565, 1.2485

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.

 

Resistance level: 0.9425, 0.9580

Support level: 0.9310, 0.9115

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 112.95, 115.90

Support level: 107.95, 104.40

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after breakout.

 

Resistance level: 1946.35, 1973.00

Support level: 1912.60, 1881.35