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24 November 2021                            Morning Session Analysis

 

Pound Sterling surged amid upbeat economic data.

The Pound Sterling was traded higher amid upbeat economic data. According to Markit Economics, UK Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in October came at the reading of 57.7, exceeding the market forecast at 54.1. Both manufacturing and service sectors reported significant recovery due to easing of lockdown restriction despite encountering increasing cost pressure. In addition, according to Reuters, UK businesses continued to hire strongly and vacancies rose to a record high, however the drop in net hiring from PMI reflecting the difficulties in recruitment. According to chief business economist at financial data provider IHS Markit Chris Williamson, he said the combination of sustained buoyant business growth, growing job market and soaring inflationary pressures could act as catalysts to push the Bank of England (BoE) to increase their lending rate in December. As of writing, the pair of GBP/USD surged 0.04% to 1.3380.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged 0.48% to $78.40 per barrel as of writing amid reaction of OPEC on the release of Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) from AS. According to ING strategists Warren Patterson and Wenyu Yao, OPEC could pause its planned increase of oil supply in response to US’s decision to release its SPR. On the other hand, the gold price slumped 0.03% to $1789.25 per troy ounces amid strengthening US dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
17:00 EUR – German Ifo Business Climate Index (Nov) 97.7 96.6
21:30 USD – Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Oct) 0.50% 0.50%
21:30 USD – GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 2.00% 2.20%
21:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 268K 260K
23:00 USD – New Home Sales (Oct) 800K 800K
23:30 CrudeOIL – Crude Oil Inventories -2.101M -0.481M

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following closure above 96.15. However, MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests the index to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 96.50, 97.00

Support level: 96.15, 95.75

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from lower level. MACD which illustrate diminished downward momentum suggests the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3410, 1.3470

Support level: 1.3355, 1.3290

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following prior closure below 1.1285. MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests the pair to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 1.1285, 1.1370

Support level: 1.1210, 1.1140

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior rebound from lower level. MACD which illustrate bullish signal suggests the pair to be traded higher in mid-term.

 

Resistance level: 115.70, 116.20

Support level: 114.90, 114.25

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior closure below 0.7260. However, MACD which illustrate bullish signal suggests the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7260, 0.7320

Support level: 0.7220, 0.7170

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from lower level. MACD which illustrate diminished bearish momentum suggests the pair to be traded higher in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 0.6985, 0.7030

Support level: 0.6935, 0.6905

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following prior retracement from higher level. MACD which forms bearish signal suggests the pair to be traded lower after a closure below 1.2660.

 

Resistance level: 1.2725, 1.2775

Support level: 1.2660, 1.2590

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded higher following prior rebound from lower level. MACD which illustrate bullish signal suggests the pair to extend its gains after closing above 0.9340.

 

Resistance level: 0.9340, 0.9400

Support level: 0.9260, 0.9200

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retrace from higher level. MACD which illustrate diminished upward momentum suggests its price to be traded lower in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 78.35, 80.80

Support level: 76.35, 74.35

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher following prior rebound from lower level. MACD which illustrate diminished bearish momentum suggests the pair to be traded higher in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 1799.70, 1817.15

Support level: 1782.25, 1760.65