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25 November 2019                           Afternoon Session Analysis

Yen slumped amid to trade optimism.

The safe-haven currency such as Japanese Yen was traded lower amid hope upon the resolution of trade war escalated and strong US data, which stoked a shift in market sentiment toward riskier asset.  According to Reuters, China plans to improve the protection of intellectual property rights, which reducing the trade tensions between the United Stated and China. In fact, Japanese Yen received further selloff pressure following Chinese President Xi JinPing said on Friday that he wants to reach an agreement with US, while U.S President Donald Trump said that the trade talk progress was going well. In addition, U.S national security adviser Robert O’Brien said on Saturday that a deal was possible by the end of the year. Hence, such sentiment has enhancing the risk appetite in the market, spurring the selloff of the safe-haven.  However, escalating tensions over Hong Kong have emerged as a fresh complication in the trade talks, which might increase the uncertainty outlook for the trade deal. On the other hand, pound sterling surged amid to positive prospect for Brexit. According to CNN, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose Conservative Party leads in opinion polls ahead of the 12th December 2019 election, promise that he will “get Brexit done” and bring a deal to leave the European Union back to parliament before Christmas. However, bleak data from the UK region which released on last Friday had limited the gains experienced by the Pound Sterling. As of writing, USD/JPY appreciated by 0.12% to 108.75 while GBP/USD surged 0.13% to 1.2845.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price slumped 0.10% to $57.84 per barrels. Investors would continue to scrutinize the crude oil inventories data as well as OPEC’s meeting which scheduled next month in order to gauge the likelihood movement of the commodity. On the other hand, gold price depreciated by 0.04% to $1461.00 per troy ounces amid to positive prospect for trade deal between U.S and China.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
17:00 EUR – German Ifo Business Climate Index (Nov) 94.6 95.0

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 97.95. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 98.20.

 

Resistance level: 98.20,98.40

Support level: 97.95, 97.75

 

GBPUSD, Daily: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1.2965. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 1.2765.

 

Resistance level: 1.2965, 1.3180

Support level: 1.2765, 1.2550

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.1010. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.1080.

 

Resistance level: 1.1080, 1.1165

Support level: 1.1010, 1.0955

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 108.65. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 108.85.

 

Resistance level: 108.85, 109.10

Support level: 108.65, 108.40

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6785. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.6825.

 

Resistance level: 0.6825, 0.6850

Support level: 0.6785, 0.6760

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.6410. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.6435.

 

Resistance level: 0.6435, 0.6455

Support level 0.6410, 0.6390

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.3265. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3325, 1.3375

Support level: 1.3265, 1.3210

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.9980. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 0.9945.

 

Resistance level: 0.9980, 1.0010

Support level: 0.9945, 0.9900

 

CrudeOIL, Daily: Crude oil was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 58.65. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 58.65, 60.50

Support level: 56.75, 55.40

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1459.40. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1464.10.

 

Resistance level: 1464.10, 1469.15

Support level: 1459.40, 1454.40