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26 December 2019                            Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Forex market remain silent following Christmas holiday break.

Dollar index which gauge its value against a basket of six major currencies hovered near the level of 97.25 amid Christmas holiday leaving the market with thinner liquidity. Prior to now, US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer revealed to the news reporters that both countries high possibly will sign off the first phase trade deal in the first week of January. On China side, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang also commented that both sides economic and trade teams are in the last stage of follow up work, a formal deal agreement will be completed shortly. However, China administration has not confirmed the trade components yet while market are also awaiting for trade deal signing details. At the moment, it is seemingly that market will remain quiet for a certain period of time due to no economic data on tap while waiting for further information in geopolitical development. During Asian trading session, dollar index inched down 0.03% to 97.65.

 

In the commodities market, crude oil price rose 0.43% to $61.35 per barrel amid trade optimism and news regarding to cooperation between Russia and OPEC on oil production cuts. Nevertheless, market participants are still as usual paying their attention on crude oil inventories data in order to gauge the direction of this black commodity. Besides, gold price soared 0.35% to $1503.60 a troy ounce as market are awaits for more catalyst in post-Christmas.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 234K 220K
05:30

(27th)

CrudeOIL – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock 4.700M

 

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 97.00. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 97.55.

 

Resistance level: 97.55, 98,10

Support level: 97.00, 96.50

 

GBPUSD, Daily: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2940. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3160, 1.3340

Support level: 1.2940, 1.2755

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.1075. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.1105.

 

Resistance level: 1.1105, 1.1140

Support level: 1.1075, 1.1050

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded within a range while currently testing the support level at 109.30. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 109.65, 109.95

Support level: 109.30, 108.90

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6925. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6925, 0.6970

Support level: 0.6880, 0.6845

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6785. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6665, 0.6725

Support level: 0.6585, 0.6505

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.3120. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.3220.

 

Resistance level: 1.3220, 1.3310

Support level: 1.3120, 1.3045

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9795. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9835, 0.9875

Support level: 0.9795, 0.9750

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 60.70. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 62.30, 63.70

Support level: 60.70, 58.85

 

GOLD_, Daily: Gold price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1488.25. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction

 

Resistance level: 1511.00, 1529.25

Support level: 1488.25, 1475.25