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26 December 2019                            Morning Session Analysis

Yen slumped amid to positive prospect of trade war

Japanese Yen slumped on Tuesday amid easing trade tension between U.S and China, which stocked a shift in sentiment toward riskier asset while dragged down the appeal of Japanese Yen. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump claimed on Tuesday that he and Chinese President Xi Jinping will have a signing ceremony to sign the first phase of the U.S.-China trade deal within this month. In fact, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang also reiterated on yesterday that both countries were having a very good negotiation between each other. However, Beijing has not yet confirmed any specific components with regards of the trade deal that were released by U.S. officials. At this time, investors would still continue to scrutinize any updates with regards of the “phase one” trade deal in order to gauge the likelihood movement for the safe-haven until the trade deal is completely signed. As of writing, USD/JPY appreciated by 0.02% to 109.36. On the other hand, the dollar index was traded flat at 97.62 with markets subdued by the holiday break.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price was traded flat at $61.20 per barrel. The oil market edged higher on Tuesday following Russia claimed that they would continue to cooperation with OPEC on supply cuts and amid optimism that the United States and China could finalize a trade agreement soon. On the other hand, gold price skyrocketed on Christmas Eve as investors continued to seek out the yellow metal as an insurance to a potential slide in equity market during the early 2020. As of writing, gold price appreciated by 0.08% to $1499.40 per troy ounces.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21:30 Initial Jobless Claims 234K 220K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 97.00. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 97.55.

 

Resistance level: 97.55, 98,10

Support level: 97.00, 96.50

 

GBPUSD, Daily: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2940. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3160, 1.3340

Support level: 1.2940, 1.2755

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.1075. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.1105.

 

Resistance level: 1.1105, 1.1140

Support level: 1.1075, 1.1050

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded within a range while currently testing the support level at 109.30. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 109.65, 109.95

Support level: 109.30, 108.90

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6925. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6925, 0.6970

Support level: 0.6880, 0.6845

 

NZDUSD, Daily: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.6785. However, MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6665, 0.6725

Support level: 0.6585, 0.6505

 

USDCAD, Daily: USDCAD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.3120. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.3220.

 

Resistance level: 1.3220, 1.3310

Support level: 1.3120, 1.3045

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9795. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9835, 0.9875

Support level: 0.9795, 0.9750

 

CrudeOIL, Daily: Crude oil price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 60.70. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 62.30, 63.70

Support level: 60.70, 58.85

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1488.25. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction

 

Resistance level: 1497.85, 1511.00

Support level: 1488.25, 1475.25