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27 August 2020                  Morning Session Analysis

Dollar slumped ahead of key Fed speech.

The Dollar index which gauge against a basket of six major currency slumped amid market participants are bracing for the Federal Reserve latest massive policy in order to boost up the U.S. economy during the annual Jackson Hole retreat on Thursday. Besides, the US Dollar extend its losses following the data on Wednesday showed that the growth in the U.S. Durable goods orders remained subdued in July, highlighting policymakers’ concerns over the economic growth from the United Stated. According to Census Bureau, the U.S Core Durable Goods Orders for last month notched down significantly from the previous reading of 4.0% to 2.4%, though the data was still slightly fared better than market expectation at 2.0%. In addition, the failure for the U.S. government to manage the outbreak of the coronavirus had spurred further bearish momentum for the US Dollar. According to Worldometers.info, the coronavirus infections from the US region had spiked up more than 45,000 people while 1169 people were killed by the coronavirus on yesterday. Nonetheless, investors would scrutinize the latest updates with regards on the Jackson hole Symposium meeting to receive further trading signal. As of writing, the Dollar Index depreciated by 0.14% to 92.85.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged 0.12% to $43.40 per barrel as of writing over the backdrop of the upbeat crude oil inventory data on yesterday. According to Energy Information Administration, the U.S. Crude oil inventories declined from the preliminary reading of -1.632M to -4.689M, much lesser than the market forecast at -3.694M. On the other hand, the gold price surged 0.05% to $1953.10 per troy ounces as of writing amid weakening US Dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

21:10                  USD                    Fed Chair Powell Speaks

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
20:30 USD – GDP (QoQ) (Q2) -32.9% -32.6%
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 1,106K 1,000K
22:00 USD – Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Jul) 16.6% 4.5%

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H1: Dollar index was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 93.25. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its losses toward support level at 92.55.

 

Resistance level: 93.25, 93.80

Support level: 92.55, 92.05

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.3155. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.3250, 1.3340

Support level: 1.3155, 1.3060

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.1785. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 1.1885.

 

Resistance level: 1.1885, 1.1955

Support level: 1.1785, 1.1710

 

USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 106.40. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward support level at 105.40.

 

Resistance level: 106.40, 107.35

Support level: 105.40, 104.25

 

AUDUSD, H1: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.7240. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward resistance level at 0.7270.

 

Resistance level: 0.7270, 0.7315

Support level: 0.7240, 0.7205

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.6625. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6690, 0.6735

Support level: 0.6625, 0.6575

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3130. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3225, 1.3315

Support level: 1.3130, 1.3060

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 0.9065. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 0.9130, 0.9185

Support level: 0.9065, 0.9010

 

CrudeOIL, H1: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the previous resistance level at 43.40. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward support level at 43.05.

 

Resistance level: 43.40, 43.75

Support level: 43.05, 42.65

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1956.60. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1956.60, 2005.65

Support level: 1911.40, 1867.70