6 December 2022 Morning Session Analysis
US Dollar revived as positive economic data spurred hopes for rate hikes.
The Dollar Index which traded against a basket of six major currencies rose significantly on yesterday after the upbeat economic data has been released. According to Institute for Supply Management, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) in November has notched up from the previous reading of 54.4 to 56.5, exceeding the consensus forecast of 53.3. On the other hand, the survey followed on the heels of stronger-than-expected job and wage growth data for November released last Friday, while consumer spending also accelerated in October. The upbeat reports have raised optimism the economy could avoid recession next year, with growth just slowing sharply, while also spurring speculation about how high rates will rise. However, it is noteworthy that Fed Chair Jerome Powell claimed last week the central bank could scale back the pace of rate hike as soon as December. Besides, the clouded economic outlook in the UK had also led US Dollar to climb higher. As of writing, the Dollar Index appreciated by 0.69% to 105.21.
In the commodities market, the crude oil price rose by 0.08% to $77.41 per barrel as of writing after a sharp decline throughout overnight trading session following the upbeat US economic data had raised the hopes of aggressive rate hikes from Fed. In addition, the gold price edged down by 0.01% to $1769.05 per troy ounce as of writing over the strengthening of US Dollar.
Today’s Holiday Market Close
Time Market Event
N/A
Today’s Highlight Events
Time Market Event
11:30 AUD RBA Rate Statement
23:30 AUD RBA Rate Statement
Today’s Highlight Economic Data
Time | Nation & Data | Previous | Forecast | Actual |
11:30 | AUD – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) | 2.85% | 3.10% | – |
17:30 | GBP – Construction PMI (Nov) | 53.2 | 52 | – |
23:00 | CAD – Ivey PMI (Nov) | 50.1 | 51 | – |
Technical Analysis
DOLLAR_INDX, Daily: Dollar index was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level. MACD which illustrated decreasing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains if successfully breakout the resistance level.
Resistance level: 105.20, 107.05
Support level: 103.45, 101.70
GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.
Resistance level: 1.2245, 1.2485
Support level: 1.2040, 1.1835
EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses if successfully breakout the support level.
Resistance level: 1.0600, 1.0740
Support level: 1.0465, 1.0335
USDJPY, Daily: USDJPY was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated decreasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains.
Resistance level: 139.00, 142.10
Support level: 135.35, 131.30
AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.
Resistance level: 0.6705, 0.6830
Support level: 0.6590, 0.6500
NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.
Resistance level: 0.6360, 0.6460
Support level: 0.6260, 0.6150
USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains.
Resistance level: 1.3635, 1.3790
Support level: 1.3455, 1.3320
USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains.
Resistance level: 0.9550, 0.9680
Support level: 0.9400, 0.9235
CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses if successfully breakout the support level.
Resistance level: 80.15, 83.55
Support level: 77.40, 75.15
GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior breakout below the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses.
Resistance level: 1783.50, 1808.55
Support level: 1756.05, 1733.70