11 November 2020                            Morning Session Analysis

 

Pound surged after government voting down the Internal Market Bill.

Pound sterling which act as one of the major currencies which being traded by market participants in the FX market jumped amid the Internal Market Bill was taken off from the table after UK Prime Minister face a huge defeat by 433 votes to 165 yesterday. In the voting session, UK House of Lord voted overwhelmingly to remove one of the section of the bill that would allow the Minister to break the international law, which successfully avoided Boris Johnson to breach the UK’s exit treaty. As getting closer to the end of transition period, market are now becoming more concern about the possibility of achieving a deal between EU and UK before Britain officially exit European Zone by 1st January. On the other side, EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier reiterated that the cost for no deal Brexit would be very high to EU but not only UK, and hence he is still very hopeful to seal a deal with UK. With the current situation, fisheries and level of playing field are still the major issues which focusing by the both sides to have a breakthrough in recent negotiation. During Asian early trading session, the pair of GBP/USD dropped 0.03% to 1.3265.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price surged by 0.67% to $42.05 as of writing amid surprise draw in US crude oil inventory. According to the API data, US Weekly Crude Oil Stock declined by 5.147M, far above the market expectation on inventory’s draw at 0.900M. Besides, gold price depreciated by 0.10% to $1875.45 a troy ounce as encouraging vaccine news lifted the market risk appetite.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

21:00                  EUR                    ECB President Lagarde Speaks

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

N/A

 

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 92.75. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the dollar to extend it losses toward the support level at 92.40.

 

Resistance level: 92.75, 93.00

Support level: 92.40, 92.10

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrates diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.3230.

 

Resistance level: 1.3290, 1.3350

Support level: 1.3230, 1.3185

 

EURUSD, H1: EURUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 1.1805. MACD which illustrate bullish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 1.1845.

 

Resistance level: 1.1845, 1.1870

Support level: 1.1810, 1.1765

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 105.45. MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 104.90.

 

Resistance level: 105.45, 106.05

Support level: 104.90, 104.20

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.7265. MACD which illustrate diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.7330.

 

Resistance level: 0.7330, 0.7405

Support level: 0.7265, 0.7205

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.6835. However, MACD which illustrate bearish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term toward a lower level.

 

Resistance level: 0.6835, 0.6870

Support level: 0.6785, 0.6725

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3035. MACD which illustrate bullish bias momentum signal suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3035, 1.3095

Support level: 1.2960, 1.2885

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.9135. However, MACD which display diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the pair to undergo technical correction in short term.

 

Resistance level: 0.9175, 0.9200

Support level: 0.9135, 0.9100

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 41.50. MACD which illustrate bullish bias momentum signal suggest the commodity to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 41.50, 42.20

Support level: 40.75, 39.90

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded higher following prior rebound from the lower level. However, MACD which illustrate diminishing bullish momentum signal suggest the commodity to undergo technical correction toward the lower level.

 

Resistance level: 1888.30, 1905.15

Support level: 1867.70, 1854.45