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14 January 2021                 Afternoon Session Analysis

US House approves Trump impeachment move.

In a historic move, US President Donald Trump became the first president to receive motion to be impeached twice after 10 of his fellow Republicans joined Democrats in House of Representative to charge him of inciting violent rampage at the Capitol last week. The vote in Democratic-controlled House garnered 232-197 votes, although it is unlikely that Trump would be impeached prior to his end of term. Amid calls for Trump to resign in House of Representative, US Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said that the impeachment trials in the Senate will not begin until next week. McConnell commented that “even if the Senate process were to begin this week, no verdict would be reached until after Trump had left the office”. However, US Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said that if Trump is convicted at his Senate impeachment trial, the chamber could hold a separate vote to bar him from running for office again in the future. Following rising political risk in the US, the dollar index fell 0.10% to 90.18 during mid-Asian trading session.

 

As for commodities, crude oil price extended its losses by 0.12% to $52.75 per barrel following global rise of coronavirus cases. Recently, China, the world’s largest oil consumer reported its largest daily tally of new coronavirus cases in more than 10 months as infection in north-eastern Heilongjiang province tripled, underscoring the threat of lockdown ahead of major national holiday. Such demeanour may dampen the momentum of economic recovery in China and in return, lower oil demand. Otherwise, gold price ticks up 0.01% to $1,843.42 a troy ounce following risk aversion in the market.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

20.30                     EUR                                        ECB Monetary Policy Statement

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
15.00 EUR – German GDP (QoQ) 8.5%
21.30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 787K 780K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 89.80. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains toward resistance level at 90.55.

 

Resistance level: 90.55, 91.15

Support level: 89.80, 89.15

 

GBPUSD, H1: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.3620. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.3700, 1.3795

Support level: 1.3620, 1.3450

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2140. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 1.2215, 1.2310

Support level: 1.2140, 1.2055

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 104.15. MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level.

 

Resistance level: 104.15, 104.70

Support level: 103.70, 103.05

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.7695. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7820, 0.7940

Support level: 0.7695, 0.7605

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher following prior rebound from the support level at 0.7165. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7235, 0.7305

Support level: 0.7165, 0.7115

 

USDCAD, H1: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1.2685. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

Resistance level: 1.2745, 1.2790

Support level: 1.2685, 1.2650

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 0.8915. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.8915, 0.8980

Support level: 0.8825, 0.8755

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 52.70. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 53.90, 55.10

Support level: 52.70, 51.55

 

GOLD_, H1: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level at 1839.10. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1862.55, 1888.60

Support level: 1839.10, 1817.05