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17 January 2023                Afternoon Session Analysis

Aussie edged up following the optimistic GDP.

The AUD/USD, which traded widely by global investors received some bullish momentum on Tuesday after the upbeat economic data has been unleashed. According to National Bureau of Statistics of China, the China Gross Domestic Product (GDP) YoY came in at the reading of 2.9%, exceeding the market forecast of 1.8%. Besides, the China Industrial Production YoY also surprised market participants by a better-than-expected figures, which indicating that the manufacturing sector in China has started to recover. Thus, Aussie, one of the China-proxy currency has catch the eyes of investors. Though, the gains of Aussie was limited following the pandemic Covid-19 issue still lingering in China. According to Reuters, China citizens laden with luggage flocked to rail stations in China’s megacities on Monday, heading to their hometowns for holidays. However, China may be on the verge of another outbreak of COVID-19 amid the background of loosening ‘zero-Covid’ policy. As of writing, the AUD/USD appreciated by 0.22% to 0.6969.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price eased by 0.62% to $79.60 per barrel as of writing as investors are awaiting for the OPEC monthly report which will be released tonight. On the other hand, the gold price depreciated by 0.42% to $1910.25 per troy ounce as of writing over the strengthening of US Dollar.

 

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

20:00                     CrudeOIL                               OPEC Monthly Report

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
15:00 GBP – Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Nov) 6.1% 6.1%
15:00 GBP – Claimant Count Change (Dec) 30.5K 19.8K
15:00 EUR – German CPI (YoY) (Dec) 8.6% 8.6%
18:00 EUR – German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Jan) -23.3 -15.0
21:30 CAD – Core CPI (MoM) (Dec)

 

 

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following a prior rebound from the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index extend its gains towards resistance at 101.65.

 

Resistance level: 103.00, 104.55

Support level: 101.65, 100.35

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower following a prior retracement from the resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggested the pair extend its gains towards support level at 1.2145

 

Resistance level: 1.2300, 1.2450

Support level: 1.2145, 1.1925

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following a prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggested the pair extend its losses towards support level at 1.0635

 

Resistance level: 1.0790, 1.0930

Support level: 1.0635, 1.0470

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher following a prior break above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggested the pair will extend its gains towards 130.25.

 

Resistance level: 130.25, 131.70

Support level: 128.00, 126.50

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded lower following a prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggested the pair will extend it losses if successfully break below the support level at 0.6870

 

Resistance level: 0.6945, 0.7040

Support level: 0.6870, 0.6775

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower following a prior break below the previous support level. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggested the pair will extend its losses towards support level at 0.6325

 

Resistance level: 0.6400, 0.6495

Support level: 0.6325, 0.6195

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following a prior retracement from the higher level.  MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish bias momentum suggested the pair will traded lower towards support level at 1.3330.

 

Resistance level: 1.3420, 1.3515

Support level: 1.3330, 1.3250

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded higher following a prior rebound from the lower level. MACD which illustrated decreasing bearish momentum suggested the pair will extend its gains towards resistance level at 0.9310.

 

Resistance level: 0.9310, 0.9365

Support level: 0.9240, 0.9195

 

CrudeOIL, Daily: CrudeOIL was traded lower following a prior retracement from the trend level. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggested the commodity will undergo a technical correction in short-term.

 

Resistance level: 81.60, 89.00

Support level: 76.05, 70.25

 

GOLD, Daily: GOLD was traded lower following a prior retracement from the higher level. MACD which illustrated decreasing bullish momentum suggested the commodity will extend its losses if the commodity break below the support level at 1898.65.

 

Resistance level: 1953.40, 1996.80

Support level: 1898.65, 1845.80