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30 June 2022                       Morning Session Analysis

Jerome Powell expressed rate hike tone, US Dollar gains.

The Dollar Index which traded against a basket of six major currencies extend its gains on yesterday over the backdrop of hawkish statement from the Federal Reserve. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed Wednesday that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) would implement further aggressive policy to stabilize the inflation rate over the long-term period. Recently, the Federal Reserve has instituted multiple rate hikes to try to subdue the rapid price increases despite the recession risk continue to linger in the global financial market. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell claimed that he is confident that Fed would successfully bring down the inflation rate, though he acknowledged that such policy would add further uncertainties toward the economy. On the economic data front, Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the US Gross Domestic Product for last quarter came in at -1.6%, missing the market forecast at -1.5%. As of writing, the Dollar Index appreciated by 0.57% to 105.10.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price slumped 0.02% to $109.55 per barrel as of writing amid the rising recession risk in the global financial market continue to weigh down the prospect for this black-commodity. On the other hand, the gold price edged lower by 0.01% to $1817.70 per troy ounces as of writing amid strengthening US Dollar.

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                       Market                  Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
14:00 GBP – GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 8.7% 8.7%
15:55 EUR – German Unemployment Change (Jun) -4K -6K
20:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 229K 227K
20:30 CAD – GDP (MoM) (Apr) 0.7% 0.3%

 

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the index to extend its gains.

 

Resistance level: 105.25, 106.30

Support level: 104.40, 103.55

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after breakout.

 

Resistance level: 1.2175, 1.2295

Support level: 1.2085, 1.1985

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses.

 

Resistance level: 1.0575, 1.0780

Support level: 1.0385, 1.0205

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 136.55, 137.70

Support level: 134.45, 131.40

 

AUDUSD, Daily: AUDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.7050, 0.7160

Support level: 0.6865, 0.6720

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.6365, 0.6535

Support level: 0.6225, 0.6070

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower while currently testing the support level. MACD which illustrated increasing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2975, 1.3050

Support level: 1.2860, 1.2765

 

USDCHF, Daily: USDCHF was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the pair to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 0.9670, 0.9705

Support level: 0.9415, 0.9305

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level. MACD which illustrated increasing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses.

 

Resistance level: 111.95, 115.65

Support level: 107.65, 103.75

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower while currently testing the support level. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bearish momentum suggest the commodity to be traded higher as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1833.15, 1844.00

Support level: 1818.80, 1807.9 5