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31 December 2020                          Afternoon Session Analysis

 

Dollar stunned ahead of year 2021.

Dollar index which gauges its value against a basket of six major currencies lingers around the two-year low level as market are waiting for more catalyst in this light trading volume day. Despite Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell has slammed the door on the proposal of increasing the stimulus checks from $600 to $2000, but investors look beyond the stimulus check while expecting more stimulus plan will be launched in year 2021. Yesterday, Mitch McConnell revealed that there is no realistic path for the stimulus check to be quickly passed in the Senate as he believes that the recent $900 billion stimulus plan has struck a balance between broad support for all kinds of households and a lot more targeted relief for those who need help most. On the other side, Donald Trump has once again demanded that the $2000 direct payment should be passed as soon as possible. During Asian trading session, dollar index dropped 0.17% to 89.45.

 

In the commodities market, the crude oil price depreciated by 0.08% to $48.10 per barrel as of writing as market concern over the UK mutated virus may tamper the future demand of oil market. In the latest statistics, UK has reported more than 50k cases per day and the death toll is also rising significantly, exacerbating the market worries of further lockdown in UK. Besides, gold price appreciated by 0.02% to $1895.00 a troy ounce amid weakening of US dollar.

 

 

 

Today’s Holiday Market Close

Time                     Market                 Event

All Day                  Switzerland         New Year’s Day

All Day                  Japan                    Market Holiday

All Day                  Germany                             New Year’s Eve

All Day                  Italy                                     New Year’s Day

 

Today’s Highlight Events

Time                     Market                 Event

N/A

 

Today’s Highlight Economic Data

Time Nation & Data Previous Forecast Actual
21:30 USD – Initial Jobless Claims 803K 835K

 

Technical Analysis

DOLLAR_INDX, H4: Dollar index was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 89.60. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the index to extend its losses toward support level at 89.30.

 

Resistance level: 89.60, 89.90

Support level: 89.30, 88.95

 

GBPUSD, H4: GBPUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.3620. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 1.3620.

 

Resistance level: 1.3620, 1.3710

Support level: 1.3535, 1.3470

 

EURUSD, H4: EURUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 1.2300. However, MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the pair to be traded lower in short-term as technical correction.

 

Resistance level: 1.2300, 1.2325

Support level: 1.2260, 1.2205

 

USDJPY, H4: USDJPY was traded lower while currently testing near the support level at 103.00. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses after it successfully breakout below the support level.

 

Resistance level: 103.65, 104.00

Support level: 103.00, 102.55

 

AUDUSD, H4: AUDUSD was traded higher following prior breakout above the previous resistance level at 0.7680. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains toward the resistance level at 0.7720.

 

Resistance level: 0.7720, 0.7750

Support level: 0.7680, 0.7635

 

NZDUSD, H4: NZDUSD was traded higher while currently testing the resistance level at 0.7225. MACD which illustrated bullish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its gains after it successfully breakout above the resistance level at 0.7225.

 

Resistance level: 0.7225, 0.7270

Support level: 0.7170, 0.7100

 

USDCAD, H4: USDCAD was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 1.2770. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 1.2695.

 

Resistance level: 1.2770, 1.2825

Support level: 1.2695, 1.2625

 

USDCHF, H4: USDCHF was traded lower following prior breakout below the previous support level at 0.8820. MACD which illustrated bearish bias momentum suggest the pair to extend its losses toward the support level at 0.8780.

 

Resistance level: 0.8820, 0.8855

Support level: 0.8780, 0.8740

 

CrudeOIL, H4: Crude oil price was traded lower following prior retracement from the downward trendline. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward the support level at 48.15.

 

Resistance level: 48.70, 49.40

Support level: 48.15, 47.10

 

GOLD_, H4: Gold price was traded lower following prior retracement from the resistance level at 1895.40. MACD which illustrated diminishing bullish momentum suggest the commodity to extend its losses toward the support level at 1883.45.

 

Resistance level: 1895.40, 1914.35

Support level: 1883.45, 1870.15